132
FNUS72 KMLB 140741
FWSMLB
SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP GIRL SCOUT CAMP...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
341 AM EDT FRI AUG 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...
DISCUSSION
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS (30% CHANCE) AND LIGHTNING STORMS ARE
FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS COLLISIONS
OCCUR BETWEEN SEA BREEZES AND OUTFLOW FROM PREVIOUS LIGHTNING
STORMS. RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH BY AROUND 5PM. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF FREQUENT LIGHTNING, WIND
GUSTS UP TO 30-50MPH, AND HEAVY RAINFALL (UP TO 1-3"). A HOT AND
HUMID DAY IS FORECAST WITH AN AFTERNOON HIGH OF 93F DEGREES AND
HEAT INDEX VALUES UP TO 108F-110F DEGREES FORECAST. NO CRITICAL RH
CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED. DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE POOR TO FAIR.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO
9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 29 30 34 38 37 32 29 19
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 30 30 30 30 20 20 10
TEMP............84 87 89 90 90 90 91 92 90
RH..............82 77 73 68 68 68 66 64 66
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 10 12 12 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.8 3.2 3.0 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.4 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 9
DISPERSION IDX..10 15 20 22 24 24 26 24 27
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10
MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4 INCREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........19 22 36 20 15 16 19 10 10 14 16 30
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 10 0 0 10 10 20
TEMP............89 88 85 84 84 83 82 81 81 81 80 80
RH..............68 70 77 80 80 82 85 88 88 88 91 91
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 9 8 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE S SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 12 12 10 9 8 8 7 6
DISPERSION IDX..26 26 7 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 32.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 34 36 45 43 44 38 34 33 30 29 22
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 20 20 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 10
TEMP............79 78 80 83 86 87 89 90 90 91 92 90
RH..............91 94 94 88 80 80 73 70 73 68 66 68
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 7 8 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.1 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.1 2.6 2.5 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 12 10
DISPERSION IDX..3 2 6 18 22 25 27 28 32 34 35 33
LVORI...........6 7 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...FEHLING
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619667.0/MLB
.DELDT 08/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBIN.ROSSMANITH@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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