539
WTUS84 KMOB 101611
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-110015-
TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL AL062024
1111 AM CDT TUE SEP 10 2024
THIS PRODUCT COVERS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
**FRANCINE NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A STORM SURGE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAVE BEEN ISSUED
FOR BALDWIN CENTRAL, BALDWIN COASTAL, MOBILE CENTRAL, AND
MOBILE COASTAL
- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BALDWIN INLAND,
GEORGE, MOBILE INLAND, AND STONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A STORM SURGE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BALDWIN CENTRAL, BALDWIN COASTAL, MOBILE CENTRAL, AND MOBILE
COASTAL
- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BALDWIN INLAND, GEORGE,
MOBILE INLAND, AND STONE
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOBILE AL OR ABOUT 640 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF PENSACOLA FL
- 24.9N 95.6W
- STORM INTENSITY 65 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
AT 10 AM CDT, TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WAS LOCATED OVER THE WEST
CENTRAL GULF AND IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN LOUISIANA ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH, AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 988 MB. FRANCINE IS MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH,
AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR
WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES OF
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING
UNTIL DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL THAT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY EXPAND FURTHER INLAND ACROSS INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. FRANCINE IS EXPECTED
TO BRING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES TO THE AREA, WITH THE
HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS ANTICIPATED OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI,
EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY BEFORE ENDING, WITH
THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC ACTIVITY NEAR THE COAST. A
STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA COAST FOR SURGE
HEIGHTS OF 2 TO 4 FEET, AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET
IS POSSIBLE OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL
FOR COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS IS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. SURF HEIGHTS BUILD TO 5 TO 9 FEET DURING
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN SUBSIDE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
- MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE
SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI,
LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.
* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
SPOTS.
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
- MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.
* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
EXTENSIVE IMPACTS MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI, EXTREME
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN
MULTIPLE PLACES. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY
BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY
BECOME STRESSED.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES.
STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF MOVING WATER WITH
UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME DANGEROUS.
MANY ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
* TORNADOES:
PREPARE FOR A DANGEROUS TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW SPOTS
OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE
HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED ABOUT.
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND EMERGENCY SUPPLIES
KIT AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT YOUR FAMILY AND SECURE YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS.
WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK SINCE HAZARDS SUCH AS FLOODING RAIN, DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS, STORM SURGE, AND TORNADOES EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE
CENTER OF THE STORM.
IF IN A PLACE THAT IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WIND, SUCH AS NEAR LARGE
TREES, A MANUFACTURED HOME, UPPER FLOORS OF A HIGH-RISE BUILDING, OR
ON A BOAT, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER.
IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN OR A LARGE INLAND LAKE, IN A LOW-LYING OR POOR
DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO
MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.
ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ORDERS THAT
ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES OF
OTHERS.
WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONCLUDED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS OR FLOODING CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.
BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR INTENTIONS FOR
WEATHERING THE STORM AND YOUR WHEREABOUTS. HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY
FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL
CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS. KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND CHARGED.
CHECK ON THOSE WHO MAY NOT BE FULLY AWARE OF THE SITUATION OR WHO ARE
UNABLE TO MAKE PERSONAL PREPARATIONS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH
YOU ARE LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND
WARNINGS. IF STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR
ONSITE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY
PERTAINING TO AREA VISITORS.
CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER.GOV, NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES
TO THE FORECAST.
THERE IS A THREAT FROM TORNADOES WITH THIS STORM. HAVE MULTIPLE WAYS
TO RECEIVE TORNADO WARNINGS. BE READY TO SHELTER QUICKLY.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR THE LATEST DETAILED EVACUATION AND SHELTER INFORMATION...PLEASE
REFER TO YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY AT THE PHONE NUMBER
OR WEBSITE LISTED BELOW.
- COASTAL ALABAMA:
- BALDWIN COUNTY: 251-972-6807 OR
WWW.BALDWINCOUNTYAL.GOV/DEPARTMENTS/EMA
- MOBILE COUNTY: 251-460-8000 OR WWW.MCEMA.NET
- NORTHWEST FLORIDA:
- ESCAMBIA COUNTY: 850-471-6400 OR BEREADYESCAMBIA.COM
- SANTA ROSA COUNTY: 850-983-5360 WWW.SANTAROSA.FL.GOV/EMERGENCY
- OKALOOSA COUNTY: 850-651-7150 OR WWW.CO.OKALOOSA.FL.US/PS/HOME
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE AL AROUND 5 PM CDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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