828
FXUS64 KMOB 151018
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
418 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(NOW THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT )
ISSUED AT 418 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA, WITH TEMPS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 50S AS OF 2 AM. MEANWHILE, POCKETS OF LIGHT RAIN
CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI AND CENTRAL ALABAMA, IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT
WAVE MOVING INTO THE OHIO AND TN VALLEYS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA, GIVEN LESS FORCING THIS FAR SOUTH.
ZONAL FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY, WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE
SURFACE. THIS WILL KEEP MILD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA, WITH HIGHS
WARMING INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEAK RIDGING WILL BUILD
EASTWARD TONIGHT, WITH ITS AXIS PUSHING EAST OF THE AREA DURING THE
DAY MONDAY. GIVEN THE RIDGE AND SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW, TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE NEW WORK
WEEK, WITH LOWS IN THE 50S AND HIGHS IN THE 70S. /73
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 418 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS OUR NEXT SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. SHORTWAVE
RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY LEADING TO
OVERALL DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. RAIN RETURNS LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A FAST MOVING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH QUICKLY PROGRESSES ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY
ON THURSDAY. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY SURGE SOUTHWARD AS
THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST. WITH THE TROUGH BEING RATHER STRUNG
OUT AND POSITIVELY TILTED, OVERALL FORCING WILL BE WEAK AND REALLY
ONLY EXPECT RAIN TO BE CONFINED TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SOMETIME
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE SEVERAL
DAYS OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, SOME INSTABILITY SHOULD EXIST
FOR AT LEAST THE POTENTIAL FOR A ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR
TWO. BEHIND THE TROUGH, NORTHWESTERLY WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP
USHERING YET ANOTHER COOL AND DRY PERIOD AS WE APPROACH THE
HOLIDAY WEEK. BB/03
MARINE
ISSUED AT 418 AM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
A MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSISTS THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. A
STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE MARINE AREA LATE IN THE WEEK
WITH A STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW EXPECTED. /73
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 71 57 74 53 76 56 75 50 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 30 30
PENSACOLA 69 59 71 56 76 60 75 54 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 30 30
DESTIN 72 59 74 59 76 62 74 57 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 30 30
EVERGREEN 71 52 75 51 78 53 76 49 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30
WAYNESBORO 71 54 73 54 77 54 74 45 / 10 0 10 10 10 0 30 30
CAMDEN 68 52 73 51 75 53 74 46 / 0 0 0 10 10 0 40 40
CRESTVIEW 73 52 78 51 80 55 78 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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