893  
FXUS64 KMOB 151810  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
1210 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024  
   
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM  
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024  
 
MVFR CEILINGS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING  
AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON BEFORE RAISING TO VFR.  
A FEW VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS COULD BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE MOB AND BFM  
TAF SITES. MVFR CEILINGS RETURN AGAIN TO MOST LOCATIONS LATER THIS  
EVENING. A LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE  
FORECAST PERIOD. DS/12  
 
 
   
NEAR TERM  
 
(NOW THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024  
 
NO CHANGES NEEDED TO NEAR TERM. WE DO HAVE A FEW ISOLATED LIGHT  
SHOWERS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE MOBILE BAY REGION, BUT TOO  
FEW TO PUT A POP INTO THE FORECAST. MOST OF THESE ARE DISSIPATING  
AS THEY MOVE ASHORE AND WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OVER THE MARINE  
AREA. OTHERWISE, UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE  
AREA, WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S AS OF 2 AM. MEANWHILE,  
POCKETS OF LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE EAST NORTHEAST  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND CENTRAL ALABAMA, IN  
RESPONSE TO AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING INTO THE OHIO AND TN  
VALLEYS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA,  
GIVEN LESS FORCING THIS FAR SOUTH. ZONAL FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH  
THE DAY, WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE. THIS WILL KEEP MILD  
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA, WITH HIGHS WARMING INTO THE UPPER 60S  
TO LOWER 70S. WEAK RIDGING WILL BUILD EASTWARD TONIGHT, WITH ITS  
AXIS PUSHING EAST OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY MONDAY. GIVEN THE  
RIDGE AND SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE  
NORMAL THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE NEW WORK WEEK, WITH LOWS IN  
THE 50S AND HIGHS IN THE 70S. 12/73  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MOBILE 57 74 53 76 56 75 50 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 10  
PENSACOLA 59 71 56 76 60 75 54 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 10  
DESTIN 59 74 59 76 62 74 57 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 10  
EVERGREEN 52 75 51 78 53 76 49 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 10  
WAYNESBORO 54 73 54 77 54 74 45 60 / 0 10 10 10 0 30 30 10  
CAMDEN 52 73 51 75 53 74 46 61 / 0 0 10 10 0 40 40 10  
CRESTVIEW 52 78 51 80 55 78 51 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 10  
 
 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AL...NONE.  
FL...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
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