698
FXUS64 KMOB 152227
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
427 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(NOW THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 427 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
WEAK RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY DRIFTS
EAST BY MONDAY NIGHT, WITH A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW
DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE, RIDING WILL CONTINUE TO
EXTEND DOWN ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST, WITH A MAINLY
LIGHT EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUING. THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW HAS BROUGHT DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE AREA BACK UP INTO THE
60S, AND THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE HAS RESULTED IN FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD LOW LEVEL CLOUDINESS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION TODAY,
AND EVEN A FEW COASTAL SHOWERS (ALTHOUGH NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT A
POP). THIS PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT, ALTHOUGH THE
CLOUD DECK WILL LIKELY LIFT A LITTLE AND THEN BECOME A LITTLE LESS
WIDESPREAD ON MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE, POCKETS OF
LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT, IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY AND A WEAK SURFACE FRONT THAT WILL BE DRIFTING
INT NORTHERN PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA BY LATE MONDAY
NIGHT. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL NORTHWEST OF OUR
AREA. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP MILD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA, WITH
TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY MODERATING (ESPECIALLY WITH REGARD TO
DAYTIME HIGHS ON MONDAY). LOWS TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON MONDAY NIGHT
WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOW TO MID 50S OVER INLAND AREAS AND MID
TO UPPER 50S CLOSER TO AND ALONG THE COAST. HIGHS ON MONDAY SHOULD
BE A LITTLE WARMER THAN TODAY, RISING IN MOST AREAS INTO THE
LOWER 70S (ALTHOUGH A FEW LOCATIONS COULD BE LIKE TODAY AND REMAIN
IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S). DS/12
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 427 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
BROAD WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ABOVE 600MB AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
UPPER TROUGH EXITING THE GREAT PLAINS AND PROGRESSING OVER OUR
REGION THROUGH MIDWEEK. AN ASSOCIATED STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUE TO TREND DOWNWARD, SO NOW WE ARE
ONLY EXPECTING ABOUT A 20-30 CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRY CONDITIONS FOLLOW THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AS A DOME OF COLD AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. HIGHS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WILL BE IN THE 70S, AND LOWS WILL BE IN THE 50S.
TEMPERATURES TREND MUCH COLDER IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH THE
LOWEST TEMPERATURES OCCURRING OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH LOWS DIPPING
INTO THE UPPER 20S AND 30S, AND HIGHS ONLY MANAGING TO GET INTO
THE 50S. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 427 PM CST SUN DEC 15 2024
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW, STRONGEST WELL
OFFSHORE, FLOW WILL PERSISTS THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. CONDITIONS
COULD BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT WELL OFFSHORE THROUGH MONDAY. A
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WITH A
MORE NORTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT. DS/12
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 57 74 54 76 55 75 49 66 / 0 10 0 0 0 20 20 10
PENSACOLA 58 71 56 75 59 75 53 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 10
DESTIN 59 74 59 75 61 74 56 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 10
EVERGREEN 52 74 52 76 53 76 47 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 10
WAYNESBORO 54 73 55 76 54 75 45 62 / 0 10 10 10 0 20 30 0
CAMDEN 51 72 53 75 53 74 46 61 / 0 0 10 10 10 20 30 10
CRESTVIEW 52 77 51 79 54 77 49 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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