112
FXUS64 KMOB 161749
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1149 AM CST MON DEC 16 2024
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1149 AM CST MON DEC 16 2024
MOSTLY MVFR CONDITIONS (CEILINGS) ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON,
BUT IFR TO LIFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS'S RETURN ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION TONIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND SOME AREAS OF DENSE
FOG (ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA).
SOME DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY
FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY, BECOMING MORE PREDOMINATE SOUTHEASTERLY
FOR A BRIEF TIME THIS EVENING. DS/12
NEAR TERM
(NOW THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1149 AM CST MON DEC 16 2024
UPPER RIDGING WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY, AS A TROUGH DIGS
INTO THE PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ALONG THE
EASTERN CONUS, WITH EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE LOCAL AREA. LOW CLOUDS
HAVE FILTERED INTO THE AREA, IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING MOISTURE IN
THE LOWER LEVELS. THESE CLOUDS WILL LIMIT FURTHER COOLING THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WITH LOWS IN THE 50S. AS THE
AXIS OF THE RIDGE SLIDES FURTHER EAST TODAY, SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THE STREAM OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. THIS, ALONG WITH
WINDS BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT, WITH FLOW THIS FAR SOUTH BECOMING MORE
ZONAL. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY, WITH
VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL 50S, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S. THE
ONLY POTENTIAL HAZARD WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE QUESTION WILL BE
IS IT FOG OR LOW STRATUS AND FOR NOW HAVE PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG
BUT NO MENTION OF DENSE QUITE YET. LOOKING AT LOW LEVEL WINDS, IT
MAY SUPPORT MORE STRATUS WEST OF I-65 AND MORE FOG EAST OF I-65;
HOWEVER, MOISTURE IS INVERSE TO THAT THINKING. IF GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT FOG DEVELOPMENT OVER LOW STRATUS THEN SOME
AREAS OF DENSE FOG MAY DEVELOP. TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO BE MORE
WIDESPREAD FOG AND POTENTIALLY DENSE FOG AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
/73
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 55 76 54 75 51 65 40 63 / 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 56 74 57 75 54 67 45 65 / 0 0 0 10 20 0 0 0
DESTIN 59 76 62 75 57 68 48 65 / 0 0 0 20 20 10 0 0
EVERGREEN 51 78 53 77 47 64 36 62 / 0 0 0 20 20 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 55 76 53 74 45 62 38 62 / 10 10 0 20 20 0 0 0
CAMDEN 52 74 52 75 45 61 37 60 / 10 10 0 40 30 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 51 80 54 78 50 69 38 65 / 0 0 0 20 20 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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