153
FXUS64 KMOB 181753
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1153 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1153 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
BY MAINLY ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS OVER A PORTION OF THE AREA.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS SWITCH TO A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION AS THE FRONT APPROACHES, THEN MOVES THROUGH. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS, THEN
LOWER TO MVFR/IFR IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. /29
NEAR TERM
(NOW THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1153 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
AN UPPER TROF SWEEPS ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES AND INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC BY THURSDAY MORNING, AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW WILL BRING A TRAILING COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. HAVE CONTINUED WITH SLIGHT
CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA AS WELL AS WELL INLAND. FOR TONIGHT WILL HAVE SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AS WELL AS A SMALL PORTION OF THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. DRY CONDITIONS ARE OTHERWISE EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. THE PASSAGE OF THE
EASTERN STATES UPPER TROF IS QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER UPPER
TROF WHICH ADVANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS THEN
AMPLIFIES WHILE MOVING INTO THE EASTERN STATES THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. A SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM LOOKS TO
BRING A DRY, REINFORCING COLD FRONT TOWARDS THE FORECAST REGION,
ALTHOUGH THE PASSAGE THROUGH THE AREA OCCURS LATER DURING THE
LONG TERM PERIOD. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S
ALONG AND WEST OF I-65, WITH LOWER TO MID 50S EAST OF I-65. HIGHS
ON THURSDAY MAINLY RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S INLAND TO THE UPPER
60S/NEAR 70 CLOSER TO THE COAST. THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE COLD WITH
LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 30S INLAND TO THE LOWER 40S
CLOSER TO THE COAST. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 52 66 40 64 33 54 33 58 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 55 68 44 64 36 54 36 58 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 57 70 47 65 38 55 39 59 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 48 65 37 62 30 52 29 56 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 44 62 37 61 29 51 29 55 / 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 45 59 37 58 28 49 27 54 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 52 70 38 65 32 55 30 59 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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