125
FXUS64 KMOB 201745
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1145 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2024
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2024
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH MINIMAL CLOUD COVER OBSERVED IN
SATELLITE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SLACKEN A BIT LATE THIS EVENING AS
THEY VEER FROM NW TO N IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. /MC
NEAR TERM
(NOW THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2024
A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. HIGHS TODAY WILL REACH THE UPPER 50S
AND LOW 60S INLAND TO LOW TO MID 60S ALONG THE COAST. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
BRINGING AND EVEN COLDER AIRMASS INTO THE REGION WITH LOWS TONIGHT
FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOW 30S INLAND TO MID 30S ALONG
THE COAST. HIGH TEMPS ON SATURDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE LOW TO MID
50S. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE MID/UPPER 20S INLAND
TO MID/UPPER 30S ALONG THE COAST. /13
SHORT THROUGH EXTENDED TERMS...
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2024
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH A NOW MEAN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS, SHIFTING THE MEAN TROUGH EAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER SHIFTS EAST TO NEAR
THE EAST COAST BY SUNDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE, WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW
SHIFTING TO EASTERLY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. AS THE SURFACE
HIGH MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST IN THE COMING WEEK, SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
RETURNS TO THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY AND GULF MOISTURE BEGINS TO MOVE
INLAND. GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR RAIN SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SYSTEM PASSES
OVER THE SOUTHEAST, WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE OF RAIN BEING
WEDNESDAY. INCONSISTENCIES IN INSTABILITY AND UPPER SUPPORT MID WEEK
MAKE PINNING DOWN ANY CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER AT THIS
POINT VERY DIFFICULT, SO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AT THIS TIME
TEMPERATURES START THE WEEKEND WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMS, WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SEE A RISE INTO THE COMING WEEK, WITH UPPER 60S TO LOW
70S EXPECTED BY THURSDAY. SUNDAY NIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE ANOTHER
COLD NIGHT, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S WELL
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 TO UPPER 30S AROUND 40 SOUTH OF I-10. BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, LOW TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE LOW 50S NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 84 TO MID/UPPER 50S SOUTH OF I-10 ARE EXPECTED.
NORTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
BEFORE BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY IN THE COMING WEEK. A MODERATE
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 32 53 31 56 36 63 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 35 53 35 56 39 60 45 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 37 55 39 58 42 61 48 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 29 51 28 56 30 60 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 28 50 27 55 30 60 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 28 48 26 52 30 57 34 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 30 55 29 58 31 62 39 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY FOR GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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