992
FXUS64 KMOB 300600
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1200 AM CST THU JAN 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST THU JAN 30 2025
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT
OUTSIDE OF LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE COAST WHERE MVFR TO IFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY FOR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED. DENSE FOG MAY
EXIST ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
POTENTIALLY TEMPORARILY REDUCING CEILING AND VISIBILITY TO LIFR
OR VLIFR FROM 3AM THROUGH 9AM THIS MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS RETURN
FOR MOST THE AREA BY MID MORNING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO
BE OUT OF THE EAST PRIOR TO DAYBREAK LESS THAN 5 KNOTS AND THEN
OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS BY MID MORNING. MM/25
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 814 PM CST WED JAN 29 2025/
.NEW NEAR TERM
NEAR TERM UPDATE...
(NOW THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 814 PM CST WED JAN 29 2025
***CORRECTED FOR PRODUCT ISSUANCE TIME***
EVENING UPDATE: RECENT HIGH RESOLUTION FORECAST GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO TREND TOWARDS AND FAVOR A SETUP FOR DENSE MARINE FOG
TO ADVECT ONSHORE IN MOBILE COUNTY. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50'S OVER THE BAY AND SOUND AND MOISTURE
RETURN CHARACTERIZED BY LOWER 60'S DEWPOINTS OVERRIDING THESE COOL
SST'S IN CONJUNCTION WITH LIGHT LOW LEVEL WINDS IS AN OPTIMAL
SETUP FOR DENSE MARINE FOG TO ADVECT ONSHORE. THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY ON THE NORTHWARD EXTENT GIVEN 925MB WINDS INCREASE AS
YOU GET INTO OUR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES AND
NORTHERN/CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY WHICH COULD HELP TO MIX OUT FOG,
HOWEVER THERE IS ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO GO AHEAD WITH A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY THROUGH CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY AT THIS TIME. PATCHY DENSE
FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT IN THE OTHER AFOREMENTIONED AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN MS INTO NORTHERN MOBILE COUNTY. LIKEWISE, A MARINE
DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND INTO
MOBILE BAY FOR THE SAME TIMEFRAME. FOG WILL ERODE BY MID MORNING
WITH DAYTIME HEATING INDUCING MIXING ALONG WITH STRENGTHENING LOW
LEVEL WINDS. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 55 71 61 74 46 69 44 72 / 0 10 30 80 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 56 69 62 73 49 67 48 69 / 0 0 10 80 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 56 67 61 72 51 68 52 69 / 0 0 0 80 10 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 50 74 57 75 43 70 42 75 / 0 10 10 90 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 53 73 57 72 43 68 41 73 / 10 10 70 60 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 49 74 57 71 43 67 41 73 / 10 10 30 90 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 51 73 57 77 44 70 43 75 / 0 0 10 80 10 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY FOR ALZ263-265.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ630>632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THURSDAY TO 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR
GMZ670-675.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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