391
FXUS64 KMOB 021144
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
544 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA WITH MVFR TO
IFR VISIBILITIES IN A FEW FOGGY SPOTS THIS MORNING. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS BY 14Z. WINDS TURN SOUTHERLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND CALM OVERNIGHT AGAIN. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED AGAIN
TONIGHT. 07/MB
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 311 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025/
.NEW NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM...
(NOW THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
RATHER BENIGN PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEAK AS A SUBTLE UPPER TROUGH CUTS OFF
INTO A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. RIDGING WILL BE
IN PLACE OVER FLORIDA AND A RATHER ZONAL FLOW ALOFT, NOT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN TALK
WILL BE SEVERAL FOGGY MORNINGS LOOKING LIKELY AS MOISTURE STREAMS
NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF AND RIDGING LEADING TO CLEAR CALM NIGHTS.
LOOKING AT GUIDANCE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND SEVERAL MORNING
ROUNDS OF PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG WILL BE EXPECTED EACH MORNING.
SOME LOCATIONS COULD BE DENSE. OTHER THAN THAT, ENJOY THE RATHER
WARM TEMPERATURES AS HIGHS CLIMB BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S AND
LOWS CLIMB BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S TO 50S. CERTAINLY A 180 DEGREE
SWING FROM THE OTHER WEEK WHEN WE WERE BURIED IN SNOW AND
FREEZING. BB-8
LONG TERM...
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
THE AREA REMAINS DRY THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS
RIDGING SETTLES INTO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE LOWER LEVELS. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING SOUTH OF THE AREA KEEPS A SOMEWHAT ZONAL FLOW OVERHEAD
THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. A FRONT STALLS ACROSS THE
MID-SOUTH THROUGH THURSDAY, KEEPING ALL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WELL
NORTH OF OUR LOCAL AREA. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY.
THE FRONT GETS DRAGGED INTO THE DEEP SOUTH AS WE ROLL DEEPER INTO
THE WORK WEEK, LIKELY MAKING IT INTO OUR AREA AT SOME POINT ON
FRIDAY. THE FRONT MAY BE WASHING OUT BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE
AREA, SO NOT ANTICIPATING MUCH MEANINGFUL RAINFALL TO ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT AT THIS POINT. THE BLENDED POPS MAY BE A TOUCH TOO LOW ON
FRIDAY (GIVEN THE FRONT OVERHEAD) AND IF TRENDS WITH THE PROGRESSION
OF THE FRONT CONTINUE INTO FUTURE FORECAST PACKAGES, THE POPS WILL
LIKELY INCREASE FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
PATCHY DENSE FOG OVER BOTH THE LAND AND COASTAL WATERS (ESPECIALLY
MOBILE BAY AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND) WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT
WEATHER CONCERN IN THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS THROUGHOUT
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREAD IN THIS
PATTERN. 07/MB
MARINE...
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO THE MARINE ZONES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
A LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW TODAY WILL BECOME A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK RELAXING OVERNIGHT EACH NIGHT. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 46 74 54 76 57 76 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
PENSACOLA 70 50 71 56 72 59 72 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 69 53 70 57 72 61 72 65 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 75 43 78 51 80 55 80 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
WAYNESBORO 73 42 76 52 77 56 79 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
CAMDEN 73 42 77 50 77 55 79 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
CRESTVIEW 74 43 76 50 78 55 77 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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