249
FXUS64 KMOB 021739
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1139 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1139 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF COASTAL ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WHERE
VLIFR AND LIFR CONDITIONS DUE TO FOG DEVELOPS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO CALM WINDS WILL CONTINUE. /22
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 311 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025/
..NEW NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM...
(NOW THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
RATHER BENIGN PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEAK AS A SUBTLE UPPER TROUGH CUTS OFF
INTO A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS. RIDGING WILL BE
IN PLACE OVER FLORIDA AND A RATHER ZONAL FLOW ALOFT, NOT MUCH IN
THE WAY OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN TALK
WILL BE SEVERAL FOGGY MORNINGS LOOKING LIKELY AS MOISTURE STREAMS
NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF AND RIDGING LEADING TO CLEAR CALM NIGHTS.
LOOKING AT GUIDANCE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND SEVERAL MORNING
ROUNDS OF PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG WILL BE EXPECTED EACH MORNING.
SOME LOCATIONS COULD BE DENSE. OTHER THAN THAT, ENJOY THE RATHER
WARM TEMPERATURES AS HIGHS CLIMB BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S AND
LOWS CLIMB BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S TO 50S. CERTAINLY A 180 DEGREE
SWING FROM THE OTHER WEEK WHEN WE WERE BURIED IN SNOW AND
FREEZING. BB-8
LONG TERM...
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
THE AREA REMAINS DRY THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS
RIDGING SETTLES INTO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE LOWER LEVELS. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING SOUTH OF THE AREA KEEPS A SOMEWHAT ZONAL FLOW
OVERHEAD THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. A FRONT STALLS
ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THROUGH THURSDAY, KEEPING ALL CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY WELL NORTH OF OUR LOCAL AREA. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE
AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY. THE FRONT GETS DRAGGED INTO THE DEEP SOUTH
AS WE ROLL DEEPER INTO THE WORK WEEK, LIKELY MAKING IT INTO OUR
AREA AT SOME POINT ON FRIDAY. THE FRONT MAY BE WASHING OUT BY THE
TIME IT REACHES THE AREA, SO NOT ANTICIPATING MUCH MEANINGFUL
RAINFALL TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AT THIS POINT. THE BLENDED POPS
MAY BE A TOUCH TOO LOW ON FRIDAY (GIVEN THE FRONT OVERHEAD) AND IF
TRENDS WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT CONTINUE INTO FUTURE
FORECAST PACKAGES, THE POPS WILL LIKELY INCREASE FOR FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
PATCHY DENSE FOG OVER BOTH THE LAND AND COASTAL WATERS (ESPECIALLY
MOBILE BAY AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND) WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT
WEATHER CONCERN IN THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREAD
IN THIS PATTERN. 07/MB
MARINE...
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST SUN FEB 2 2025
NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO THE MARINE ZONES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
A LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW TODAY WILL BECOME A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK RELAXING OVERNIGHT EACH NIGHT. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 46 74 54 76 57 76 62 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20
PENSACOLA 50 71 56 72 59 72 64 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
DESTIN 53 70 57 72 61 72 65 74 / 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 43 78 51 80 55 80 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30
WAYNESBORO 42 76 52 77 56 79 62 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20
CAMDEN 42 77 50 77 55 79 61 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30
CRESTVIEW 43 76 50 78 55 77 59 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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