893
FXUS64 KMOB 030949
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
349 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
(NOW THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
FOG THIS MORNING APPEARS TO NOT BE COOPERATING QUITE LIKE WE
ORIGINALLY THOUGHT; HOWEVER, WE DO EXPECT SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG
MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR MOBILE COUNTY AND AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI. AREAS EAST OF I-65 APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE MORE
UNCERTAIN THAN ORIGINALLY THOUGHT.
OUR BENIGN PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THIS
WEEK. RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE OVER FLORIDA AND A RATHER ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT DESPITE A SUBTLE CUTOFF LOW OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF.
THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF WEATHER TUESDAY
NIGHT. THE MAIN TALK WILL BE SEVERAL FOGGY MORNINGS LOOKING LIKELY
AS MOISTURE STREAMS NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF AND RIDGING LEADING TO
CLEAR CALM NIGHTS. GUIDANCE IS SIGNIFICANTLY MORE ENTHUSED ABOUT THE
PROSPECTS OF FOG OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL MORNINGS AND AS A RESULT
PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG HAVE BEEN ADDED TO THE FORECAST. A MORE
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. OTHER THAN THAT,
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THE RATHER WARM TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY AS HIGHS
WILL ONLY GET WARMER AS THEY CLIMB INTO THE MID AND EVEN UPPER 70S.
BB-8
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
RIDGING IN THE LOWER LEVELS MAINTAINS A GRIP ON THE LOCAL AREA
THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS PARKED TO
OUR SOUTH. BENIGN WEATHER IS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN THIS PATTERN FOR
THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA. A FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH
THROUGH THURSDAY WILL SLOWLY SAG FURTHER INTO THE DEEP SOUTH ON
FRIDAY BEFORE STALLING OR WASHING OUT WELL TO THE NORTH OF OUR LOCAL
AREA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON, PREDOMINANTLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84
CORRIDOR IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTH ALABAMA. THE BEST CHANCES
FOR RAIN REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE AREA, BUT WE CAN'T RULE OUT OFF-
AND-ON SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THAT TIMEFRAME. SATURDAY SHOULD BE DRY
AREA-WIDE. ANOTHER FRONT RUSHES TOWARD THE AREA LATE IN THE WEEKEND
AND SLIDES INTO THE LOCAL AREA AT SOME POINT ON SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES
WILL LIKELY INCREASE AHEAD OF THE LATTER FRONT.
PATCHY DENSE FOG OVER BOTH THE LAND AND COASTAL WATERS WILL BE THE
PREDOMINANT WEATHER CONCERN IN THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS
THROUGH FRIDAY GIVEN THE TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREAD IN THIS
PATTERN. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 347 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
WHILE DENSE FOG THIS MORNING DOES NOT SEEM TO BE GOING AS
ORIGINALLY PLANNED; AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS
NEARSHORE WATERS, MOBILE BAY AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND EACH NIGHT
THROUGH MIDWEEK. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK
WITH NO OTHER IMPACTS TO THE MARINE AREAS EXPECTED. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 53 76 55 75 61 77 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
PENSACOLA 69 54 72 57 71 63 74 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
DESTIN 68 56 72 59 71 64 74 64 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 10 10
EVERGREEN 76 49 79 54 79 59 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20
WAYNESBORO 76 52 76 56 78 61 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 10
CAMDEN 75 50 76 55 78 60 79 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 20
CRESTVIEW 75 49 79 53 77 59 79 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR ALZ261>266.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR GMZ630>633-
650.
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WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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