113
FXUS64 KMOB 031744
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1144 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
AREAS TO WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH VLIFR
CONDITIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH MID-MORNING TUESDAY, INCLUDING
ALL TERMINAL COASTAL TERMINAL SITES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BECOME CALM OVERNIGHT. /22
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 349 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025/
..NEW NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM...
(NOW THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
FOG THIS MORNING APPEARS TO NOT BE COOPERATING QUITE LIKE WE
ORIGINALLY THOUGHT; HOWEVER, WE DO EXPECT SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG
MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR MOBILE COUNTY AND AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI. AREAS EAST OF I-65 APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE MORE
UNCERTAIN THAN ORIGINALLY THOUGHT.
OUR BENIGN PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THIS
WEEK. RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE OVER FLORIDA AND A RATHER ZONAL
FLOW ALOFT DESPITE A SUBTLE CUTOFF LOW OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN
GULF. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF WEATHER
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN TALK WILL BE SEVERAL FOGGY MORNINGS
LOOKING LIKELY AS MOISTURE STREAMS NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF AND
RIDGING LEADING TO CLEAR CALM NIGHTS. GUIDANCE IS SIGNIFICANTLY
MORE ENTHUSED ABOUT THE PROSPECTS OF FOG OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
MORNINGS AND AS A RESULT PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG HAVE BEEN
ADDED TO THE FORECAST. A MORE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. OTHER THAN THAT, HOPE YOU ENJOYED THE RATHER
WARM TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY AS HIGHS WILL ONLY GET WARMER AS THEY
CLIMB INTO THE MID AND EVEN UPPER 70S. BB-8
LONG TERM...
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
RIDGING IN THE LOWER LEVELS MAINTAINS A GRIP ON THE LOCAL AREA
THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS PARKED
TO OUR SOUTH. BENIGN WEATHER IS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN THIS PATTERN
FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA. A FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH
THROUGH THURSDAY WILL SLOWLY SAG FURTHER INTO THE DEEP SOUTH ON
FRIDAY BEFORE STALLING OR WASHING OUT WELL TO THE NORTH OF OUR
LOCAL AREA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON, PREDOMINANTLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE
HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTH ALABAMA. THE
BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE AREA, BUT WE CAN'T
RULE OUT OFF- AND-ON SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THAT TIMEFRAME. SATURDAY
SHOULD BE DRY AREA-WIDE. ANOTHER FRONT RUSHES TOWARD THE AREA LATE
IN THE WEEKEND AND SLIDES INTO THE LOCAL AREA AT SOME POINT ON
SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL LIKELY INCREASE AHEAD OF THE LATTER
FRONT.
PATCHY DENSE FOG OVER BOTH THE LAND AND COASTAL WATERS WILL BE THE
PREDOMINANT WEATHER CONCERN IN THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS THROUGH FRIDAY GIVEN THE TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREAD IN THIS
PATTERN. 07/MB
MARINE...
ISSUED AT 347 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025
WHILE DENSE FOG THIS MORNING DOES NOT SEEM TO BE GOING AS
ORIGINALLY PLANNED; AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS
NEARSHORE WATERS, MOBILE BAY AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND EACH NIGHT
THROUGH MIDWEEK. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK
WITH NO OTHER IMPACTS TO THE MARINE AREAS EXPECTED. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 53 76 57 74 61 76 60 78 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 0 10
PENSACOLA 55 72 58 71 63 74 62 75 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 0 10
DESTIN 56 68 59 70 63 73 64 74 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 0 10
EVERGREEN 50 77 56 77 58 80 60 81 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 10 10
WAYNESBORO 53 76 58 78 61 80 60 81 / 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 10
CAMDEN 51 74 56 76 59 78 60 80 / 0 10 0 10 10 20 10 20
CRESTVIEW 50 77 55 76 59 79 59 80 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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