789
FXUS64 KMOB 040549
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1149 PM CST MON FEB 3 2025
..NEW AVIATION
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1149 PM CST MON FEB 3 2025
A MIX OF VFR TO VLIFR VISBYS WILL SLOWLY BECOME LIFR TO VLIFR AS
FOG SETTLES IN ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES FOR FOG
WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 84 BEFORE SLOWLY MIXING OUT BY
MID MORNING. MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND BEFORE VISBYS DROP ONCE
AGAIN OVERNIGHT TOMORROW NIGHT. BB-8
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 551 PM CST MON FEB 3 2025/
.NEW AVIATION
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 551 PM CST MON FEB 3 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS EVENING, BUT AREAS OF WIDESPREAD
DENSE FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT, MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND CONTINUING THROUGH MID MORNING (14-15Z) TUESDAY MORNING. VLIFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR MANY LOCATIONS, INCLUDING ALL OF THE COASTAL
TAF SITES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING LIGHT SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTHERLY DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. DS/12
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 PM CST MON FEB 3 2025/
NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM...
(NOW THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 353 PM CST MON FEB 3 2025
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
PREVAILS NORTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF AND DEEP SOUTH, WHILE
A SURFACE RIDGE PERSISTS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND NORTHEAST
GULF. LIGHT DAYTIME SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN A THIN
LAYER OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA,
RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A STRONG SIGNAL FROM THE CAMS DEVELOPING
AREAS OF DENSE FOG TONIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 84, SO A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY (DFA) HAS BEEN ISSUED ACROSS THESE ZONES FROM
MIDNIGHT UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE WARM (11-18 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL), ONLY
DROPPING INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE 8-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, RANGING FROM 73 TO 77 DEGREES INLAND AND FROM
65 TO 72 DEGREES ALONG THE COAST. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE VERY
WARM (14-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL), ONLY DROPPING INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 50S. /22
LONG TERM...
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 353 PM CST MON FEB 3 2025
WEAK RIDGING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY PATTERN WITH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS. A WEAK FRONT WILL SINK SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST
STATES LATE THIS WEEK BEFORE WASHING OUT WELL NORTH OF THE AREA.
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS ON
THURSDAY, HOWEVER MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY. SATURDAY SHOULD BE
DRY AREA-WIDE. ANOTHER FRONT RUSHES TOWARD THE AREA LATE IN THE
WEEKEND AND SLIDES INTO THE AREA AT SOME POINT ON SUNDAY WITH
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. PATCHY DENSE FOG OVER BOTH THE LAND AND
COASTAL WATERS WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT WEATHER CONCERN IN THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS THROUGH FRIDAY. /13
MARINE...
ISSUED AT 353 PM CST MON FEB 3 2025
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL THE BAYS,
SOUNDS, AND NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH MID TO LATE
TUESDAY MORNING. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE OVER ALL THE BAYS, SOUNDS, AND
NEARSHORE WATERS EACH NIGHT THIS WEEK. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 53 76 57 74 61 76 60 78 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 0 10
PENSACOLA 55 72 58 71 63 74 62 75 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 0 10
DESTIN 56 68 59 70 63 73 64 74 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 0 10
EVERGREEN 50 77 56 77 58 80 60 81 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 10 10
WAYNESBORO 53 76 58 78 61 80 60 81 / 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 10
CAMDEN 51 74 56 76 59 78 60 80 / 0 10 0 10 10 20 10 20
CRESTVIEW 50 77 55 76 59 79 59 80 / 0 0 10 0 10 10 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST TUESDAY FOR ALZ052-053-055-
056-059-060-261>266.
FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST TUESDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST TUESDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ630>632-650.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ633>636-655.
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