882
FXUS64 KMOB 041747
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1147 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AREA-WIDE THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.
AREAS TO WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH VLIFR
CONDITIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH MID-MORNING WEDNESDAY, INCLUDING
ALL TERMINAL COASTAL TERMINAL SITES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME CALM OVERNIGHT. /22
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 406 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2025/
..NEW NEAR TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM...
(NOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 405 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2025
THE FOG HAS ARRIVED AND IS HERE TO STAY. WE USUALLY GO ONE OR TWO
WEEKS IN THE WINTER WHERE WE JUST GET SOCKED IN WITH FOG FOR A
WHILE AND IT APPEARS THIS IS THAT WEEK. THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL
NOT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH RIDGING
REMAINING IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF. THE UPPER LOW OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL REMAIN STUCK THERE FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE WAITING FOR ITS TURN TO MERGE BACK INTO THE MAIN FLOW. AS
MENTIONED, FOG WILL BE ABOUT ALL WE GET OUT OF THIS FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AND WITH MOST OF THE AREA SOCKED IN WITH DENSE FOG WE
EXPECT MULTIPLE DAYS OF DENSE FOG ADVISORIES. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO BE ON THE WARM SIDE WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE MID
70S AND POTENTIALLY UPPER 70S INLAND BY WEDNESDAY. BB-8
LONG TERM...
(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 405 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2025
RIDGING IN THE LOWER LEVELS MAINTAINS A GRIP ON THE LOCAL AREA
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS PARKED TO OUR
SOUTH. A FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH ON THURSDAY WILL SAG
FURTHER INTO THE DEEP SOUTH ON FRIDAY, BUT SHOULD STALL NORTH OF
THE AREA AS THE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC MAINTAINS
CONTROL OVER THE LOCAL AREA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON HOURS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
STREAM INTO THE AREA IN THE ONSHORE FLOW REGIME. THAT SAID, MOST
OF THE AREA SHOULD STAY DRY BOTH DAYS. SATURDAY REMAINS DRY IN
THIS PATTERN.
THE PATTERN CHANGES AS WE ROLL INTO SUNDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
THAT'S BEEN DRIFTING OVER THE WESTERN GULF SINCE MID-WEEK WILL
FINALLY LIFT TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. AT THE SAME
TIME, A COLD FRONT SLIDES OVERHEAD THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY.
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. THIS OPENS
THE DOOR FOR WHAT APPEARS TO BE A MUCH MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
FOR NEXT WEEK.
IN THE MEANTIME, PATCHY DENSE FOG OVER LAND AND THE COASTAL WATERS
WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT WEATHER CONCERN IN THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS THROUGH FRIDAY. 07/MB
MARINE...
ISSUED AT 405 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2025
AREAS OF DENSE FOG HAVE DEVELOP ACROSS NEARSHORE WATERS, MOBILE
BAY AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND TONIGHT AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST EACH
NIGHT THROUGH MIDWEEK. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THE WEEK WITH NO OTHER IMPACTS TO THE MARINE AREAS EXPECTED. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 58 75 60 77 60 79 61 78 / 10 10 10 10 0 10 0 0
PENSACOLA 59 71 62 73 63 75 63 74 / 10 0 10 10 0 10 0 0
DESTIN 59 72 62 74 64 75 65 75 / 10 0 10 10 0 20 0 0
EVERGREEN 56 78 58 81 61 82 60 83 / 10 0 10 10 0 20 10 0
WAYNESBORO 59 78 60 80 61 82 61 82 / 0 0 0 20 0 10 0 0
CAMDEN 56 77 59 79 61 81 61 82 / 0 10 0 20 0 20 10 0
CRESTVIEW 56 77 57 79 61 81 61 80 / 10 0 10 10 0 20 10 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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