965  
FNUS74 KMOB 221047  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RKC0203 AERIAL...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
447 AM CST SAT FEB 22 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON FEBRUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 10 EXPECTED SUNDAY OVER THE BURN  
AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
THERE IS A 40% CHANCE OF RAIN SUNDAY. FOR TODAY,  
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 30%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL  
BE MOSTLY EASTERLY TO EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES  
WILL BE FAIR. FOR SUNDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR  
40%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TO  
NORTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE POOR.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1036 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6  
TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 3  
METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 21 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 51 51 74 74 74 71 71 71 57 57 57  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 32 38 45 50 53 55 57 58 58 58 55  
RH..............73 72 65 53 44 39 37 34 33 32 32 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE ENE E E ESE NW NW NW WNW WNW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E ESE ESE SE WSW W WNW WNW NW NW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 7 6 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E ESE ESE SE WSW W WNW WNW NW NW NNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..7 5 6 9 11 13 18 24 24 24 24 24  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-152 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........51 39 33 45 55 61 36 44 33 42 53 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 50 47 45 44 42 42 40 39 39 37 38  
RH..............47 50 56 58 58 63 60 67 68 68 72 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NNW NNW NNW NNW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNW N N N N N N NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..NNW N N N N N N NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-732 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........70 71 72 73 71 81 90 90 91 91 90 89  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............38 39 43 47 51 54 57 58 58 58 57 54  
RH..............69 66 60 56 50 47 44 44 44 45 52 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE N N NNW NNW NNW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST. 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE NNE NE NNE NE NNE NNE N NNE NE NE NNE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 5 6 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE NNE NE NNE NE NNE NNE N NNE NE NE NNE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..5 6 7 8 10 10 9 8 8 10 10 10  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...JONATHAN HOWELL  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2503450.0/MOB  
.DELDT 02/22/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.K.MOCK@USDA.GOV  
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