048
FXUS64 KMOB 162309
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
609 PM CDT WED APR 16 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT WED APR 16 2025
DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE
TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER NIGHT OF GENERALLY GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING, ESPECIALLY INTERIOR LOCATIONS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO
THE UPPER 40S OVER MOST INLAND AREAS, BUT LOW TO MID 50S CLOSER TO
THE COAST. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY ON THURSDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT, ALLOWING FOR THE ONSET OF A MODERATING TEMPERATURE
TREND. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL BE QUITE WARM, PRIMARILY IN THE LOWER
80S FOR MOST LOCATIONS EXCEPT FOR MID TO UPPER 70S CLOSER TO AND
ALONG THE COAST. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT MAINLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 50S
INLAND AND LOW TO MID 60S COASTAL (MAYBE A FEW UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70
AT THE BEACHES). DS/12
A 5-WAVE SCALE POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROF OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE CONUS SPLITS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH THE NORTHERN
PORTION EJECTING ACROSS EASTERN CANADA WHILE THE REMAINDER TAKES ON
A MERIDIONAL ORIENTATION OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. THE
PLAINS UPPER TROF TAKES ON A NEGATIVE ORIENTATION ON SUNDAY THEN
EJECTS OFF ACROSS THE INTERIOR EASTERN STATES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. A
SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES UNTIL A
SURFACE LOW PASSING TO THE NORTH BRINGS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT INTO
THE REGION BETWEEN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY
WITH WHETHER OR NOT THE WEAK FRONT WILL MANAGE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA OR RATHER STALL OVER THE AREA, BUT REGARDLESS THIS
FEATURE AND THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL SUPPORT CHANCE POPS MAINLY
FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A RETURN FLOW IS ANTICIPATED TO
RESUME BY TUESDAY NIGHT AT THE LATEST, AND HAVE CONTINUED WITH
CHANCE POPS FOR WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON FRIDAY
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MODERATE RISK FOR SATURDAY, THEN A HIGH RISK
IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. /29
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 604 PM CDT WED APR 16 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST WITH A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WIND BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT WED APR 16 2025
A SOMEWHAT LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE MARINE AREA
TONIGHT, BECOMING MORE EAST TO SOUTHEAST THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. A MOSTLY LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND FLOW IS THEN EXPECTED
TO PERSIST OVER THE MARINE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. NO HAZARDS TO
SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED. DS/12
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 51 79 60 82 64 81 65 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
PENSACOLA 55 76 65 78 66 79 67 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 58 76 66 78 67 79 68 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 46 83 53 86 58 86 59 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
WAYNESBORO 48 84 56 88 64 87 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
CAMDEN 47 81 54 85 60 86 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
CRESTVIEW 46 82 54 83 59 85 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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