272
FXUS64 KMOB 170532
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1232 AM CDT THU APR 17 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT WED APR 16 2025
DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT
AND VARIABLE TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER NIGHT OF GENERALLY
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING, ESPECIALLY INTERIOR LOCATIONS. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S OVER MOST INLAND AREAS, BUT
LOW TO MID 50S CLOSER TO THE COAST. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY ON THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, ALLOWING FOR THE
ONSET OF A MODERATING TEMPERATURE TREND. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL
BE QUITE WARM, PRIMARILY IN THE LOWER 80S FOR MOST LOCATIONS
EXCEPT FOR MID TO UPPER 70S CLOSER TO AND ALONG THE COAST. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT MAINLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 50S INLAND AND LOW TO
MID 60S COASTAL (MAYBE A FEW UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 AT THE BEACHES).
DS/12
A 5-WAVE SCALE POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROF OVER THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE CONUS SPLITS SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH THE
NORTHERN PORTION EJECTING ACROSS EASTERN CANADA WHILE THE
REMAINDER TAKES ON A MERIDIONAL ORIENTATION OVER THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS. THE PLAINS UPPER TROF TAKES ON A NEGATIVE
ORIENTATION ON SUNDAY THEN EJECTS OFF ACROSS THE INTERIOR EASTERN
STATES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES UNTIL A SURFACE LOW PASSING TO THE NORTH
BRINGS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION BETWEEN SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY WITH WHETHER OR NOT THE WEAK
FRONT WILL MANAGE TO MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA OR RATHER
STALL OVER THE AREA, BUT REGARDLESS THIS FEATURE AND THE OVERALL
PATTERN WILL SUPPORT CHANCE POPS MAINLY FROM MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. A RETURN FLOW IS ANTICIPATED TO RESUME BY TUESDAY NIGHT
AT THE LATEST, AND HAVE CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS FOR WEDNESDAY
AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.
A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON FRIDAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A
MODERATE RISK FOR SATURDAY, THEN A HIGH RISK IS EXPECTED FOR
SUNDAY. /29
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT THU APR 17 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST WITH CALM TO
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT SOUTHERLY ON
FRIDAY. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT WED APR 16 2025
A SOMEWHAT LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE MARINE
AREA TONIGHT, BECOMING MORE EAST TO SOUTHEAST THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. A MOSTLY LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND FLOW IS
THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE MARINE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. NO HAZARDS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED. DS/12
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 60 82 64 81 65 82 66 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 40
PENSACOLA 65 78 66 79 67 79 68 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30
DESTIN 66 78 67 79 68 78 69 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30
EVERGREEN 53 86 58 86 59 84 62 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40
WAYNESBORO 56 88 64 87 62 86 64 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 50
CAMDEN 54 85 60 86 60 83 63 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 50
CRESTVIEW 54 83 59 85 60 83 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page