096
FXUS64 KMOB 170853
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
353 AM CDT THU APR 17 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 235 AM CDT THU APR 17 2025
AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN GULF TO ONTARIO CANADA
WILL SHIFT OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THIS
RIDGE WILL CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THIS
WEEKEND AS A POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES
SWINGS EASTWARD, BECOMING NEGATIVELY-TILTED OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS BY NOON SUNDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL THEN LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES REGION. DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY
THROUGH EASTER MORNING, FOLLOWED BY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE INCREASING TO 20-30% SUNDAY AFTERNOON WEST OF THE ALABAMA
RIVER, AND THEN DROPS OFF SUNDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS FOLLOW FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE
ENERGY ARRIVES FROM THE WEST.
A SURFACE RIDGE SETTING UP ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL
LARGELY PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD, KEEPING A
LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW INTACT. THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL RETURN
IN BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE SETTING UP A POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY LATE
NIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT. THIS SIGNAL IS SHOWING UP FROM THE SHORT
RANGE ENSEMBLES IN FOG PROBABILITIES FOR FRIDAY NIGHT, INCREASING
UP TO 40-60% AFTER 3 AM NORTH OF I-10, CONTINUING TO SHORTLY AFTER
DAYBREAK. WE MAY NEED TO MONITOR FOR A POSSIBLE DENSE FOG
ADVISORY.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND UPWARD TO ABOVE NORMAL (AT
TIMES MUCH ABOVE NORMAL) THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S INLAND AND UPPER 70S ALONG THE
COAST. SOME HIGH TEMPS MAY APPROACH 90 DEGREES OVER THE WEEKEND.
LOWS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S INLAND BY THE
WEEKEND, WITH UPPER 60S AT THE COAST. GIVEN DRIER AIR IN PLACE, NO
HEAT RELATED CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED. /22
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT THU APR 17 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST WITH CALM TO
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT SOUTHERLY ON
FRIDAY. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT WED APR 16 2025
A LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY THIS
AFTERNOON, AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO HAZARDS
TO SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 80 59 81 64 82 65 81 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20
PENSACOLA 76 64 77 66 79 67 79 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
DESTIN 76 65 78 66 78 68 79 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 82 51 85 58 86 60 84 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
WAYNESBORO 84 55 87 63 87 62 85 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 20
CAMDEN 81 53 85 59 85 60 83 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20
CRESTVIEW 82 52 84 58 84 60 84 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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