835
FXUS64 KMOB 190900
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
400 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 341 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2025
REPORTS OF REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES TO ONE-QUARTER MILE ARE
COMING IN ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE, AND THERE ARE STRONG SIGNALS ON CAM GUIDANCE THAT THE
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH DAYBREAK. THEREFORE, A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH MID-
MORNING. DRY AND WARM WEATHER CONTINUES THIS WEEKEND AS UPPER
RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. A SMALL CHANCE FOR RAIN
SHOWERS BEGINS TO ENTER INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AS WE HEAD INTO
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH GLANCES THE REGION TO OUR
NORTHWEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80'S
TODAY, WITH LOWER TO MIDDLE 80'S EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT
LOWS FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60'S FOR MOST SPOTS TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY NIGHT. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY BECOMES A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS BY TONIGHT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. MM/25
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
A NEGATIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION ON MONDAY, WITH AN ASSOCIATED WEAK COLD
FRONT APPROACHING OUR REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN DEEP MOISTURE AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL THEN REMAIN
OVER OUR REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF UPPER SHORTWAVE
ENERGY AND IMPULSES TRAVERSE THE AREA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK,
WITH PERHAPS NUMEROUS COVERAGE OVER THE INLAND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOONS. HOWEVER, DESPITE THE INCREASED CHANCES OF RAIN, THE
TOTAL EXPECTED RAINFALL SHOULD BE MINIMAL. AT THIS TIME, WE ARE
ONLY EXPECTING BETWEEN 0.2 TO NEAR ONE INCH OF RAIN NEXT WEEK
NORTHWEST OF I-65, AND BELOW 0.2 INCHES TO THE SOUTHEAST. A HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO TREND ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN 80S AND LOWS IN
THE 60S. /22
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2025FLIGHT CATEGORIES RANGE
FROM VFR OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TO MVFR TO LIFR NEARER THE COAST
PRESENTLY OWING TO LOW STRATUS AND/OR PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG
BEGINNING TO SETTLE IN. EXPECT MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS TO BECOME
PREVAILING THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT INTO DAYBREAK, WITH MORE
LOCALIZED AREAS SEEING IFR TO LIFR VISIBILITIES, PARTICULARLY EAST
OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. A RETURN TO VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY WILL OCCUR
AFTER DAYBREAK AS ANY FOG OR LOW STRATUS LIFTS. OVERALL, WINDS
REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS NEARER THE COAST
AND CALM FURTHER INLAND. EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE INTO THE DAY
TODAY IN THE 5 TO 10 KNOT RANGE FOR ALL LOCATIONS. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 257 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2025
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PERSISTS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND, GRADUALLY DIMINISHING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW MAY STRENGTHEN TO SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
HEADLINES OVER THE 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILE WATERS SUNDAY MORNING.
SEAS GRADUALLY BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET BY SUNDAY BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 83 66 81 66 82 65 82 64 / 0 0 0 10 30 30 60 10
PENSACOLA 78 67 78 67 79 68 79 67 / 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 0
DESTIN 78 67 78 68 79 69 79 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 0
EVERGREEN 86 61 85 60 85 62 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 20 30 60 10
WAYNESBORO 88 63 86 65 83 63 83 63 / 0 0 0 10 60 50 80 20
CAMDEN 86 63 84 61 84 63 81 62 / 0 0 0 0 40 40 70 20
CRESTVIEW 85 60 83 60 84 62 83 61 / 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ALZ055>060.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR FLZ201-203-
205.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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