620  
FNUS74 KMOB 011105  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 7209 EAST...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
605 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 82 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS  
EXPECTED TODAY. GENERAL SOUTHERLY WINDS AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE  
EXPECTED, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING WELL ABOVE CRITICAL  
VALUES.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........75 57 44 50 33 45  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 40 40 60  
TEMP............69 72 80 84 86 84  
RH..............100 93 69 57 53 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE S S S S SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 8 10 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 15 18 20 21 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1600 3000 4300 4500 3900  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 13 14 16 15 15  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) TO MOSTLY  
CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN  
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 8 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........47 44 49 56 34 45  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 20 20 10 10  
TEMP............82 74 70 69 68 67  
RH..............61 82 90 97 97 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW S SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 12 9 8 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....3900 600 600 600 400 400  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S ESE SSW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 8 7 8  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........48 54 49 53 55 56  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 30 30 70 70  
TEMP............66 69 78 81 83 83  
RH..............100 100 79 67 61 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 5 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 10 14 15 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1100 2600 2900 3200 3600  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 13 14 15 15  
 

 
FORECASTER...16  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2512308.1/MOB  
.DELDT 05/01/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
 
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