299  
FNUS74 KMOB 021332  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR J12 CREEK...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
832 AM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY  
TODAY, WITH A 20% CHANCE OF RAIN FOR TONIGHT. FOR THIS AFTERNOON,  
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS AROUND 45-50%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS  
WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY  
SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE  
GOOD (AROUND 70).  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS  
POSSIBLE TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...914-1463 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....35 INCREASING TO 65.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........37 46 48 48 41 36 36 37 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............75 80 82 83 84 84 84 83 82  
RH..............79 65 58 55 51 51 51 53 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 9 10 10 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 16 18 20 20 21 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.7 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SSE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 10 12 13 14 15 15 16  
TRANS WIND DIR..S SSE S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..30 39 52 62 63 62 63 61 68  
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG  
OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-1280 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....77 DECREASING TO 5.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........39 35 34 39 44 47 36 29 41 46 62 63  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG RNF RNF  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............79 77 73 71 70 69 67 67 66 65 65 65  
RH..............62 67 79 87 90 93 100 97 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SSW ESE ESE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 14 13 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 2.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SSW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 13 10 9 7 8 8 8 7 9 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SSW S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 6 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..77 7 6 5 5 3 4 4 4 3 4 4  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...96  
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE RUSHING  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2512668.0/MOB  
.DELDT 05/02/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROY_RUSHING@FWS.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab AL Page
The Nexlab FL Page
The Nexlab MS Page Main Text Page