433
FXUS64 KMOB 010520
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1220 AM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 204 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
AN UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUES ON TUESDAY AS THE AREA REMAINS IN
A NORTHERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN BETWEEN A RIDGE TO OUR WEST
AND UPPER LOW EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THIS WILL LEAD TO
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ON TUESDAY, STARTING NEAR THE COAST IN THE MORNING BEFORE
GRADUALLY SPREADING INLAND. HIGH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE ON
WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND
SENDS A WEAK FRONT SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA. THE BOUNDARY WILL
PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. COVERAGE WILL REMAIN DIURNALLY
DRIVEN WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED, HOWEVER MINOR
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AS MUCH OF THE AREA IS SATURATED. THE CLOUDS
AND RAIN WILL KEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL. /13
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
THE FRONT PUSHES OFF INTO THE MARINE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A
DRIER AIRMASS MOVING IN FOR THURSDAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
ARE FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 1.5 INCHES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
MEANWHILE, THE UPPER RIDGE TO OUR WEST WILL BUILD EASTWARD. THE
COMBINATION OF THE DRIER AIR AND BUILDING RIDGE WILL RESULT IN
HOTTER AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOR THE START OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MOISTURE
LEVELS INCREASE. MUCH HOTTER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S. AT THIS POINT, HEAT INDICES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA THANKS TO
AFTERNOON DEW POINTS MIXING DOWN INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S.
LOWS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WILL BE GENERALLY IN THE LOW 70S INLAND
AND THE MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AGAIN
THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH IFR TO MVFR
CONDITIONS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE NIGHT HOURS OVER INTERIOR AREAS. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY 5-10 KNOTS
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 204 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 90 71 93 71 95 73 94 / 40 40 10 10 0 10 10 30
PENSACOLA 74 90 74 93 74 94 76 93 / 50 50 20 20 10 10 10 30
DESTIN 77 91 77 94 78 95 79 94 / 60 50 30 20 10 20 20 30
EVERGREEN 70 91 69 94 68 96 71 96 / 30 30 0 10 0 10 0 20
WAYNESBORO 71 91 68 93 69 95 71 96 / 30 20 0 10 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN 70 89 68 90 68 92 71 94 / 30 20 0 10 0 10 0 10
CRESTVIEW 71 90 70 94 69 96 71 95 / 40 60 10 20 0 20 10 40
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page