323
FXUS64 KMOB 021113
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
613 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
UPPER RIDGING REMAINS ROOTED ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE UPPER TROUGHING ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS
CONTINUES TO PERSIST. OUR FORECAST AREA REMAINS BETWEEN THESE TWO
FEATURES, WITH RIDGING BEING MORE DOMINANT THROUGH LATE WEEK
UNTIL A CUTOFF UPPER LOW/TROUGH RETROGRADES WEST THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT SHIFTS SOUTH THROUGH THE
AREA TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY, USHERING IN A DRIER, BUT HOTTER,
AIRMASS TO ROUND OUT THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. WE TRADE OFF THE
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY FOR DRY WEATHER TO
PREVAIL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. AFTERNOON SEABREEZE STORMS NEARER THE
COAST TRY TO BECOME ESTABLISHED AGAIN OVER THE WEEKEND WITH
MOISTURE GRADUALLY RETURNING TO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WARM FROM
THE UPPER 80'S AND LOWER 90'S TODAY TO LOWER TO MIDDLE 90'S
PREVAILING EACH DAY THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS DROP OFF WITH THE DRY
AIR IN PLACE OVERHEAD, HELPING TO LIMIT HEAT INDICES IN THE 95 TO
105 RANGE ANY GIVEN DAY. WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT SOMEWHERE IN THE NORTHEAST GULF OR OFF THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED DECAYING COLD FRONT, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS
LOW ON IF DEVELOPMENT OCCURS AND IF SO, WHERE IT WOULD GO. A LOW
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
AFTER PATCHY MORNING FOG BURNS OFF, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MVFR CONDITIONS WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED MAINLY DAYTIME CONVECTION. A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AT 5-10
KNOTS DEVELOPS TODAY, THEN BECOMES LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS
EVENING. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
NO MARINE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 72 93 71 95 74 94 73 / 40 10 10 0 10 0 20 20
PENSACOLA 90 75 93 74 94 76 93 75 / 50 20 10 0 10 10 20 20
DESTIN 90 77 94 78 95 79 94 78 / 60 30 10 10 20 10 20 30
EVERGREEN 90 70 93 69 96 71 95 71 / 40 10 10 0 10 0 10 10
WAYNESBORO 91 69 92 69 95 71 95 71 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
CAMDEN 88 68 90 69 93 71 93 71 / 20 0 0 0 10 0 10 0
CRESTVIEW 90 71 94 70 95 72 95 71 / 60 20 10 0 20 10 20 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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