774
FXUS64 KMOB 021810
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
110 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION, DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 107 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
02.12Z UPPER AIR MAPS SHOW AXIS OF LOW PRESSURE TROF ALIGNED FROM
THE APPALACHIANS TO THE EASTERN GULF. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRIER AIR FROM ALOFT EASING SOUTHWARD INTO THE FORECAST AREA.
PRECIPITABLE WATER (PWAT) VALUES THOUGH STILL RANGE 1.7 TO 2.0"
OVER THE DEEP SOUTH. A SURFACE FRONT HAS SETTLED SOUTHWARD AND IS
DRAPED FROM THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH CENTRAL AL/MS AND BACK
ACROSS NORTHERN LA. SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY, WEAK PRE-FRONTAL
MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES ARE IN PLACE WHICH COMBINED WITH SUFFICIENT
PWAT'S AND DAYTIME INSTABILITY (MUCAPE 2500-3500 J/KG) FAVORS
ENOUGH SUPPORT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWER/STORM
DEVELOPMENT GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE US HWY 84 CORRIDOR. THIS IS
SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST SREF OF THE CONVECTION ALLOWING MODEL
MEMBERS. STORM MOTION GENERALLY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST. RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER IS LOW, BUT A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG. THE FRONT
SETTLES SOUTHWARD TO JUST OFF THE COAST BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY.
MODEST POPS BECOME MORE ALIGNED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT,
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT. THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT EXPECTED TO
BE RAIN-FREE.
LOWS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT, UPPER 60'S/LOWER 70'S INTERIOR
TO MID 70'S COAST. HIGHS THURSDAY 90 TO 95, BUT WITH LOWERING
DEWPOINTS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, HEAT INDEX VALUES KEPT IN
CHECK AT CLOSE TO OR MAYBE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE THE DAYTIME HIGHS
ONLY.
RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS LOW. /10
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 107 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A BRIEF
PERIOD OF REDUCED CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES. HOWEVER, MOST AREAS
WILL REMAIN DRY. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1030 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
NO MARINE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 94 71 94 74 94 72 92 / 10 0 0 10 10 40 20 50
PENSACOLA 75 94 75 94 76 93 75 90 / 20 0 0 20 10 40 20 50
DESTIN 78 95 78 95 79 94 78 91 / 30 10 0 20 20 40 30 50
EVERGREEN 70 94 69 95 71 95 71 93 / 10 0 0 10 0 20 10 40
WAYNESBORO 69 92 69 94 71 95 70 94 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 30
CAMDEN 68 90 69 93 71 93 71 92 / 0 0 0 10 0 20 0 20
CRESTVIEW 71 94 70 95 72 95 71 92 / 10 10 0 30 10 40 10 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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