070
FXUS64 KMOB 271720
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1220 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025
THE HEAT IS ON AS WE ROUND OUT THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
THE UPCOMING WEEK AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION. SYNOPTICALLY THE UPCOMING SETUP IS
PRETTY SIMILAR TO OUR LAST BOUT OF HEAT ABOUT A WEEK AGO WITH A
LITTLE BIT BETTER MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. UNFORTUNATELY,
THIS MEANS WE LIKELY WON'T MIX OUT AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS QUITE AS
AGGRESSIVELY AS WE DID LAST TIME, WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA TO DEAL WITH VERY HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90'S TO NEAR
100 IN COMBINATION WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
70'S EACH AFTERNOON. TODAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY IN THIS STRETCH
WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MIDDLE 90'S FOR MOST LOCATIONS AND
HEAT INDICES REACHING THE 100 TO 109 RANGE, WARMEST ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN MS INTO COASTAL COUNTIES OF AL/FL WHERE A HEAT
ADVISORY GOES INTO EFFECT LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS.
IT ONLY GETS HOTTER FROM HERE WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY REACHING THE UPPER 90'S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES AREA-WIDE.
HEAT INDICES ALSO RISE ACCORDINGLY INTO THE 105 TO 112 RANGE FOR
MOST LOCATIONS, PERHAPS EVEN TOUCHING EXTREME HEAT WARNING
CRITERIA ACROSS COASTAL ZONES MONDAY/TUESDAY AFTERNOONS WITH HEAT
INDICES APPROACHING 113 DEGREES. HEAT RISK VALUES REMAIN
IN THE HIGH TO LOCALLY EXTREME TERRITORY FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
AS WELL. THE ONE CAVEAT TO TUESDAY MAY BE INCREASING RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR THAT COULD HELP
LIMIT THE DURATION OR COVERAGE OF HIGH HEAT INDICES DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.
WITH ALL THAT SAID, WE DO RETURN CLOSER TO MORE TYPICAL SUMMER
TIME HEAT AS WE GET INTO THE LATTER PARTS OF THE WEEK WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. UPPER RIDGING LOOSENS ITS
GRIP ON THE AREA AND BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. HIGHS GENERALLY TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
90'S WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
TODAY BECOMES A LOW RISK THROUGH MID WEEK, INCREASING BACK TO A
MODERATE RISK BY THURSDAY. MM/25
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025
LARGE DOME OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN ATOP THE AREA
BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS THRU NEXT 24 HRS. THERE IS A
SMALL CHANCE OF A POP-UP SHRA/TSRA THRU THE AFTERNOON NEAR THE
MOB/BFM TERMINALS BUT THESE ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE BRIEF IF THEY
OCCUR. /10
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS UPCOMING WEEK. LIGHT WESTERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT. LIGHT TO MODERATE
WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PREVAILS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY BEFORE
TURNING SOUTHWESTERLY BY MID WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 99 78 96 76 92 76 92 / 0 10 10 60 50 70 30 60
PENSACOLA 79 99 81 97 79 92 80 92 / 0 10 10 50 40 50 20 50
DESTIN 82 99 83 96 81 92 81 92 / 0 10 10 40 40 40 20 40
EVERGREEN 75 99 77 97 75 94 74 94 / 0 10 10 60 40 60 30 50
WAYNESBORO 75 97 77 96 75 94 73 93 / 0 10 10 60 50 70 30 60
CAMDEN 75 97 78 96 75 94 74 93 / 0 10 10 50 40 60 30 60
CRESTVIEW 75 100 77 98 75 94 75 94 / 0 10 10 60 30 60 20 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ALZ051-052-056-
059-060-261>266.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALZ261>266.
FL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...NONE.
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