275
FXUS64 KMOB 272357
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
657 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 401 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025
HOT AND HUMID IS A PRETTY ACCURATE DESCRIPTION OF THE FORECAST
THROUGH TUESDAY.
A HIGH CONTINUES TO BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND DEEP
SOUTH THROUGH MONDAY, WHICH LEADS TO THE REGION BAKING IN THE SUN
AND NO RELIEF FROM ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS ON MONDAY. CONSEQUENTLY,
MONDAY WILL BE THE HOTTEST DAY OF THE WEEK WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT
AROUND 97-103°F. A HEAT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT LATE MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS FOR HEAT INDICES OF 108-
112°F ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI, THE SOUTHWEST ALABAMA,
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. A FEW ISOLATED SPOTS ALONG THE COAST MAY HAVE
HEAT INDICES HOVERING AROUND 113°F FOR A VERY BRIEF PERIOD IN THE
AFTERNOON ON MONDAY (SPECIFICALLY IN MOBILE COUNTY IN ALABAMA AND
ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN FLORIDA). FOR NOW, WE ARE HOLDING OFF ON AN
UPGRADE TO A WARNING FOR OUR COASTAL COMMUNITIES, BUT WE WILL TAKE A
LOOK AT THE LATEST GUIDANCE AGAIN TONIGHT TO SEE WHETHER A WARNING
IS NECESSARY OR NOT. MONDAY'S HEAT WILL BE DANGEROUS AND IT NEEDS TO
BE STRESSED THAT THERE WILL BE LITTLE TO NO RELIEF FROM THE HEAT
OVERNIGHT AS LOWS ONLY FALL TO 78-80°F FOR INLAND COMMUNITIES AND 80-
85°F SOUTH OF I-10 (ESPECIALLY ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE). HEAT
RISK REACHES THE EXTREME CATEGORY IN A FEW SPOTS ON MONDAY , MEANING
YOU NEED TO TAKE MORE PRECAUTIONS THAN USUAL TO PROTECT YOURSELF
FROM THIS HEAT (AGAIN, THIS IS NOT OUR AVERAGE SUMMERTIME HEAT).
DEEP LAYER FLOW TURNS MORE NORTHERLY AS WE ROLL THROUGH THE DAY
MONDAY (ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE HIGH) AND BY TUESDAY, WE WILL
NEED TO START MONITORING FOR SUBTLE SHORTWAVES POTENTIALLY DIVING
SOUTHWARD. WILL IT STILL BE HOT...YES. IS THERE MORE UNCERTAINTY
SURROUNDING WHICH AREAS WILL GET HOT GIVEN THE INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS...ALSO YES. THAT SAID, WE WILL LIKELY STILL
NEED A HEAT ADVISORY FOR MOST OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND POTENTIALLY
WEDNESDAY (ALTHOUGH UNCERTAINTY IS VERY HIGH ON THAT DAY). RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND WITH MORE OF A DIURNAL PATTERN TO THE CONVECTION (I.E.
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS).
BEACH FORECAST - RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS MODERATE FOR NORTHWEST
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A LOW RISK FOR ALL BEACHES THROUGH MID-
WEEK. RIP CURRENT MOS PROBABILITIES INDICATE A BUMP IN THE RIP
CURRENT RISK TO A MODERATE BY THURSDAY. 07/MB
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 655 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025
OUTSIDE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM THIS EVENING, VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAIL. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
DAY MONDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY OUT OF THE WEST TONIGHT AT
AROUND 5 KNOTS, SHIFTING TO NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY AT 5 TO 10
KNOTS FOR THE DAY MONDAY. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 401 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE WEEK. LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW
PERSISTS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY TONIGHT.
LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW PREVAILS MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND. 07/MB
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 99 78 96 76 92 76 92 / 0 10 10 60 50 70 30 60
PENSACOLA 79 99 81 97 79 92 80 92 / 0 10 10 50 40 50 20 50
DESTIN 82 99 83 96 81 92 81 92 / 0 10 10 40 40 40 20 40
EVERGREEN 75 99 77 97 75 94 74 94 / 0 10 10 60 40 60 30 50
WAYNESBORO 75 97 77 96 75 94 73 93 / 0 10 10 60 50 70 30 60
CAMDEN 75 97 78 96 75 94 74 93 / 0 10 10 50 40 60 30 60
CRESTVIEW 75 100 77 98 75 94 75 94 / 0 10 10 60 30 60 20 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ALZ051-052-056-
059-060-261>266.
FL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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