311
FXUS64 KMOB 280503
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1203 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2025
..NEW AVIATION, DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2025
THE HEAT IS ON THE FIRST HALF OF THIS WEEK AS UPPER RIDGING
SETTLES IN AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION.
VERY HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90'S TO NEAR 100 ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TUESDAY. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH
HIGH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70'S EACH AFTERNOON WILL
MAKE FOR HIGH HEAT INDICES IN THE 105 TO 112 RANGE FOR MOST
LOCATIONS, PERHAPS EVEN NEARING EXTREME HEAT WARNING CRITERIA
ACROSS COASTAL ZONES THIS AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH
HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 113 DEGREES. HEAT RISK VALUES REMAIN IN
THE HIGH TO LOCALLY EXTREME TERRITORY FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
WELL. THE ONE CAVEAT TO TUESDAY MAY BE INCREASING RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR THAT COULD HELP
LIMIT THE DURATION OR COVERAGE OF HIGH HEAT INDICES DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.
WITH ALL THAT SAID, WE DO RETURN CLOSER TO MORE TYPICAL SUMMER
TIME HEAT AS WE GET INTO THE LATTER PARTS OF THE WEEK WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. UPPER RIDGING LOOSENS ITS
GRIP ON THE AREA WITH EVEN SOME WEAK UPPER TROUGHING MOVING IN
OVER THE WEEKEND. BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS GENERALLY TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90'S WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING DOWN FURTHER INTO THE
UPPER 80'S AND LOWER 90'S THIS WEEKEND. FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES
CURRENTLY SIT JUST BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR THE REGION,
HOWEVER IF AFTERNOON COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS MORE
LIMITED SOME SPOTS MAY TOUCH 108 HEAT INDICES WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS PERSISTS THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEK OUTSIDE OF THURSDAY WHERE THE RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES BUMPS UP TO A MODERATE RISK. MM/25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2025
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY PREVAILS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY OUT OF THE WEST THE REST OF THE
OVERNIGHT AT AROUND 5 KNOTS, SHIFTING TO PRIMARILY NORTHWESTERLY
TO NORTHERLY AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS FOR THE DAY TODAY. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2025
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE WEEK. LIGHT NORTHERLY TO
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TURNS WESTERLY TODAY BEFORE RESUMING A LIGHT
NORTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW
BECOMES ESTABLISHED DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY PERSISTING INTO THE
WEEKEND. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 99 78 96 76 92 76 92 / 0 10 10 60 50 70 30 60
PENSACOLA 79 99 81 97 79 92 80 92 / 0 10 10 50 40 50 20 50
DESTIN 82 99 83 96 81 92 81 92 / 0 10 10 40 40 40 20 40
EVERGREEN 75 99 77 97 75 94 74 94 / 0 10 10 60 40 60 30 50
WAYNESBORO 75 97 77 96 75 94 73 93 / 0 10 10 60 50 70 30 60
CAMDEN 75 97 78 96 75 94 74 93 / 0 10 10 50 40 60 30 60
CRESTVIEW 75 100 77 98 75 94 75 94 / 0 10 10 60 30 60 20 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR ALZ051-052-056-
059-060-261>266.
FL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT MONDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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