216
FXUS64 KMOB 311110
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
610 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BE REPLACED BY TROUGHING FRIDAY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS THIS UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS, AN ASSOCIATED
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SINK SLOWLY INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
TODAY AND INTO OUR AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AND STALL OUT.
THIS WILL BRING ENHANCED DAILY RAIN CHANCES THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW A TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERN,
WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE MORNING OVER OUR
MARINE ZONES AND ALONG THE COAST, PULSE-TYPE STORMS DEVELOPING
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS, AND ACTIVITY EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING
DURING THE EVENING DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. AS WE
TYPICALLY SEE WITH THIS TYPE OF PATTERN, CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL, AS WELL AS VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
HIGHS TODAY WILL AGAIN CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES OF 106-111 ACROSS THE AREA. A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY. THE HEAT BACKS OFF SOME
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD DUE TO ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND A
HIGHER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
80S AND LOW 90S THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. /13
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 608 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
OUTSIDE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY SHOULD PREVAIL AREA-WIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 5 KNOTS THIS MORNING,
INCREASING TO NEAR 10 KNOTS NEARER THE COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SEAS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY 2 FEET OR
LESS. NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 94 76 94 75 91 74 91 73 / 70 30 80 40 70 40 70 40
PENSACOLA 93 80 92 79 92 76 90 75 / 60 20 80 40 80 50 80 50
DESTIN 93 81 92 80 91 78 89 76 / 50 20 70 40 80 60 80 60
EVERGREEN 97 75 95 74 93 72 88 70 / 50 40 70 40 70 40 70 30
WAYNESBORO 96 74 94 69 90 69 88 69 / 60 40 70 30 50 20 50 20
CAMDEN 95 75 94 73 90 71 86 68 / 50 40 60 30 60 30 70 20
CRESTVIEW 94 76 93 75 93 73 88 71 / 60 20 80 30 90 50 90 50
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ALZ051-052-059-261>266.
FL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...NONE.
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