110
FXUS64 KMOB 010454
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1154 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
WE'LL START OFF THE DAY FRIDAY WITH ONE UPPER HIGH PRESSURE AREA
CENTERED OVER NORTH CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE OTHER CENTERED OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. UPPER LEVEL WEAKNESS IN THE FORM OF A WEAK
UPPER TROUGH WILL RESIDE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER REGION
BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS. THE FLORIDA UPPER HIGH WILL GET SHUNTED
OFF TO THE SOUTH AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLIPS EASTWARD OVER THE
SOUTHEAST STATES BY THE END OF THE WEEK. A STRONGER MEDIUM
AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH IS THEN FORECAST TO BE OVER MUCH OF THE
EASTERN CONUS AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
PERSISTENT WEAKNESS ALOFT WILL BRING ENHANCED DAILY RAIN CHANCES
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW A TYPICAL
DIURNAL PATTERN, WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE
MORNING OVER OUR MARINE ZONES AND ALONG THE COAST, AND THEN SPREAD
INLAND THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST MID-EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING.
WE CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, AS WELL AS VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED, WE WILL LIKELY REMAIN JUST
BELOW THE LOWER END OF OUR HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA (108 DEGREES)
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, ALTHOUGH A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD
MANAGE TO BRIEFLY TOP OFF NEAR 110 DEGREES. WITH THE STRONGER
MEDIUM AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH OVER OUR AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK, WE
EXPECT SOME COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO
THE LOW/MID 80S NORTHEAST OF A BUTLER TO CRESTVIEW LINE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, WITH UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST AREA. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. /22
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL MOST AREAS THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL LATE THIS
EVENING WELL INLAND. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
REDEVELOP ON FRIDAY, MAINLY INLAND AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
EXPECT BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN SOME OF
THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY. AT THIS TIME, CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW ALONG
THE COAST TO INCLUDE MENTIONING IN THE TAFS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, SHIFTING TO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY 2 FEET OR
LESS. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 76 93 75 91 73 90 73 88 / 20 70 40 90 50 80 40 80
PENSACOLA 80 92 78 91 76 89 76 87 / 20 60 40 90 60 80 60 80
DESTIN 81 92 81 91 78 89 77 88 / 20 50 40 90 70 90 70 80
EVERGREEN 75 95 73 92 72 87 71 86 / 30 70 40 90 50 80 40 70
WAYNESBORO 74 94 73 91 71 89 70 88 / 30 70 50 70 30 60 20 50
CAMDEN 75 94 73 90 71 86 69 85 / 30 70 40 80 40 80 30 60
CRESTVIEW 75 94 74 91 73 89 72 86 / 10 60 30 90 50 90 60 90
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page