554
FXUS64 KMOB 011746
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1246 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
WE'LL START OFF THE DAY FRIDAY WITH ONE UPPER HIGH PRESSURE AREA
CENTERED OVER NORTH CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE OTHER CENTERED OVER
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. UPPER LEVEL WEAKNESS IN THE FORM OF A WEAK
UPPER TROUGH WILL RESIDE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER REGION
BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS. THE FLORIDA UPPER HIGH WILL GET SHUNTED
OFF TO THE SOUTH AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLIPS EASTWARD OVER THE
SOUTHEAST STATES BY THE END OF THE WEEK. A STRONGER MEDIUM
AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH IS THEN FORECAST TO BE OVER MUCH OF THE
EASTERN CONUS AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
PERSISTENT WEAKNESS ALOFT WILL BRING ENHANCED DAILY RAIN CHANCES
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW A TYPICAL
DIURNAL PATTERN, WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE
MORNING OVER OUR MARINE ZONES AND ALONG THE COAST, AND THEN SPREAD
INLAND THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST MID-EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING.
WE CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, AS WELL AS VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED, WE WILL LIKELY REMAIN JUST
BELOW THE LOWER END OF OUR HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA (108 DEGREES)
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, ALTHOUGH A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD
MANAGE TO BRIEFLY TOP OFF NEAR 110 DEGREES. WITH THE STRONGER
MEDIUM AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH OVER OUR AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK, WE
EXPECT SOME COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO
THE LOW/MID 80S NORTHEAST OF A BUTLER TO CRESTVIEW LINE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, WITH UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST AREA. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2025
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME MVFR TO IFR
MAINLY NORTH OF I-10 AS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP. STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY MIDNIGHT AS VFR CONDITIONS RETURN THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1118 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2025
A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, SHIFTING TO A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY 2 FEET OR
LESS. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 92 73 89 73 87 72 87 / 30 90 50 80 50 80 50 80
PENSACOLA 79 91 77 90 76 86 75 87 / 20 80 70 90 60 80 60 80
DESTIN 81 91 78 90 77 87 77 88 / 20 80 70 90 70 80 70 80
EVERGREEN 74 93 72 89 71 86 70 86 / 50 90 60 80 50 80 50 80
WAYNESBORO 73 89 71 88 70 87 70 87 / 50 80 40 60 30 60 30 60
CAMDEN 73 90 71 87 70 84 69 85 / 50 80 50 70 40 70 40 70
CRESTVIEW 75 93 73 89 72 85 72 87 / 20 90 60 90 60 90 60 90
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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