193
FXUS64 KMOB 202326
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
626 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2025
A BROAD UPPER TROF EVOLVES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH
THURSDAY, AND A WEAK SURFACE TROF WILL ALSO BE ORIENTED ROUGHLY EAST-
WEST OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THE BROAD UPPER TROF AND WEAK SURFACE
TROF GENERALLY REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE A LARGE UPPER
TROF DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST STATES. THE LARGE
UPPER TROF EXPANDS TO ENCOMPASS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS GOING
INTO MONDAY, AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WELL OFF TO THE NORTH
BRINGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. HAVE
CONTINUED WITH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
AS THE WEAK SURFACE TROF AND THE SEA BREEZE LEAD TO CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY, THEN
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS FOLLOW FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY EXCEPT FOR
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS MAINLY NEAR THE COAST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL
BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S THEN MODERATE THROUGH SATURDAY TO
MOSTLY AROUND 90 DUE TO INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.
HIGHS TREND BACK TO 90-95 BY MONDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS TYPICALLY RANGE
FROM THE LOWER 70S INLAND TO THE MID/UPPER 70S AT THE COAST
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT, THEN TREND A BIT COOLER FOR SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY NIGHT TO AROUND 70 INLAND TO THE MID 70S AT THE COAST.
AS COOLER AIR FLOWS INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, LOWS
MONDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE MID 60S WELL INLAND TO THE LOWER 70S
AT THE COAST. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH
SUNDAY. /29
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2025
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH ANY LOCATIONS UNDERNEATH THESE STORMS
SEEING TEMPORARY REDUCTIONS IN FLIGHT CATEGORY. WINDS REMAIN
GENERALLY OUT OF THE WEST TONIGHT LESS THAN 5 KNOTS, BECOMING WEST
TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS FOR THURSDAY. LOCATIONS NEARER THE
COAST WILL SEE WINDS SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH AT 5 TO
10 KNOTS DURING THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 108 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2025
A DIURNAL FLOW PATTERN PERSISTS THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A WESTERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND BECOMING ONSHORE IN THE AFTERNOON. A
LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL FOLLOW FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A
LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. NO IMPACTS ARE
ANTICIPATED OTHER THAN HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR STORMS. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 74 94 73 91 73 90 73 91 / 10 60 40 70 30 70 30 50
PENSACOLA 78 92 77 90 76 89 75 89 / 10 50 30 70 40 70 40 60
DESTIN 79 91 78 90 78 88 77 89 / 10 50 30 60 50 70 40 60
EVERGREEN 73 95 72 93 72 90 70 92 / 20 60 40 60 40 60 20 40
WAYNESBORO 73 93 71 88 71 90 69 93 / 20 60 40 50 20 50 20 30
CAMDEN 73 92 72 90 71 88 71 90 / 20 60 30 50 30 50 20 30
CRESTVIEW 74 94 73 90 71 89 72 89 / 10 60 30 70 40 70 30 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page