222  
FXUS64 KMOB 221747  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
1247 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
A WEAK UPPER TROF LINGERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN IS  
ABSORBED INTO A LARGE UPPER TROF WHICH EVOLVES OVER THE CENTRAL AND  
EASTERN CONUS. A WEAK SURFACE TROF OVER THE FORECAST AREA MOVES INTO  
THE MARINE AREA TONIGHT, AIDED BY A WEAK LAND BREEZE CIRCULATION,  
THEN RETURNS SATURDAY INTO THE COASTAL COUNTIES WITH THE SEA BREEZE.  
THIS CYCLE REPEATS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WHILE A SURFACE LOW  
WELL OFF TO THE NORTH (ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE UPPER TROF) BRINGS  
A COLD FRONT TOWARDS THE AREA. THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE  
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND WELCOMES DRIER AND COOLER  
AIR INTO THE REGION. HAVE GONE WITH MOSTLY CHANCE TO GOOD CHANCE  
POPS ON SATURDAY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 TAPERING TO DRY CONDITIONS  
OVER PORTIONS OF CHOCTAW AND WAYNE COUNTIES. FOR SUNDAY, HAVE GONE  
WITH CHANCE POPS ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS  
ELSEWHERE. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR MONDAY THROUGH  
THURSDAY, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS RETURN FOR FRIDAY.  
 
HIGHS ON SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY RANGE FROM AROUND 90 TO THE MID  
90S, THEN HIGHS TREND COOLER THROUGH WEDNESDAY TO THE MID TO UPPER  
80S WITH SIMILAR HIGHS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LOWS TONIGHT THROUGH  
SUNDAY NIGHT TYPICALLY RANGE FROM AROUND 70 WELL INLAND TO THE MID  
70S AT THE COAST. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE  
MID 60S INLAND TO THE LOWER 70S AT THE COAST, THEN WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
LOOKS TO BE THE COOLEST NIGHT AND RANGES FROM THE LOWER 60S WELL  
INLAND TO AROUND 70 AT THE COAST. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE  
MID 60S INLAND TO THE LOWER 70S AT THE COAST. A LOW RISK OF RIP  
CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. /29  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS WERE NOTED OVER THE FORECAST AREA, WITH  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF  
HIGHWAY 84. LOCAL DROPS TO LOW END MVFR/IFR LEVELS IN THE  
STRONGER CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT TRAFFIC PATTERNS AT  
TIMES, BEFORE DECREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY IN THE EVENING.  
SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS WILL BECOME A LIGHT NORTHERLY  
OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY VARIABLE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE  
STRONGER STORMS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND  
SOUTH OF THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND MAY AFFECT COASTAL AREAS  
BEFORE SUNRISE.  
/16  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025  
 
A GENERALLY LIGHT WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL BE IN  
PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY. A LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW PREVAILS FOR  
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EXCEPT FOR BRIEFLY BECOMING SOUTHERLY NEAR  
SHORE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. NO IMPACTS ARE  
ANTICIPATED OTHER THAN HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR STORMS. /29  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MOBILE 72 91 72 93 72 94 69 91 / 30 40 20 30 10 10 0 10  
PENSACOLA 75 90 76 92 75 93 72 91 / 50 50 30 40 20 10 0 10  
DESTIN 77 88 77 90 77 92 74 90 / 60 60 40 40 20 10 0 10  
EVERGREEN 71 93 70 94 70 94 65 92 / 30 40 20 30 10 0 0 0  
WAYNESBORO 71 94 68 93 70 94 66 90 / 10 10 10 20 0 0 0 10  
CAMDEN 71 91 71 90 70 91 64 87 / 30 20 10 20 0 0 0 0  
CRESTVIEW 72 89 71 92 71 93 67 91 / 40 50 30 40 10 10 0 10  
 
 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AL...NONE.  
FL...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
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