294
FXUS64 KMOB 230521
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1221 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
A WEAK UPPER TROF LINGERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN IS
ABSORBED INTO A LARGE UPPER TROF WHICH EVOLVES OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CONUS. A WEAK SURFACE TROF OVER THE FORECAST AREA MOVES INTO
THE MARINE AREA TONIGHT, AIDED BY A WEAK LAND BREEZE CIRCULATION,
THEN RETURNS SATURDAY INTO THE COASTAL COUNTIES WITH THE SEA BREEZE.
THIS CYCLE REPEATS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WHILE A SURFACE LOW
WELL OFF TO THE NORTH (ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE UPPER TROF) BRINGS
A COLD FRONT TOWARDS THE AREA. THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND WELCOMES DRIER AND COOLER
AIR INTO THE REGION. HAVE GONE WITH MOSTLY CHANCE TO GOOD CHANCE
POPS ON SATURDAY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 TAPERING TO DRY CONDITIONS
OVER PORTIONS OF CHOCTAW AND WAYNE COUNTIES. FOR SUNDAY, HAVE GONE
WITH CHANCE POPS ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
ELSEWHERE. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS RETURN FOR FRIDAY.
HIGHS ON SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY RANGE FROM AROUND 90 TO THE MID
90S, THEN HIGHS TREND COOLER THROUGH WEDNESDAY TO THE MID TO UPPER
80S WITH SIMILAR HIGHS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LOWS TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT TYPICALLY RANGE FROM AROUND 70 WELL INLAND TO THE MID
70S AT THE COAST. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE
MID 60S INLAND TO THE LOWER 70S AT THE COAST, THEN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
LOOKS TO BE THE COOLEST NIGHT AND RANGES FROM THE LOWER 60S WELL
INLAND TO AROUND 70 AT THE COAST. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE
MID 60S INLAND TO THE LOWER 70S AT THE COAST. A LOW RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. /29
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1221 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN TODAY, HOWEVER COVERAGE
SHOULD BE LESS THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. LOW CLOUDS MAY IMPACT THE
TERMINALS BRIEFLY THIS MORNING; HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH
ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS. /73
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2025
A GENERALLY LIGHT WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL BE IN
PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY. A LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW PREVAILS FOR
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EXCEPT FOR BRIEFLY BECOMING SOUTHERLY NEAR
SHORE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. NO IMPACTS ARE
ANTICIPATED OTHER THAN HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR STORMS. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 93 72 94 69 91 68 88 / 20 30 10 10 0 10 10 10
PENSACOLA 76 92 75 93 72 91 71 89 / 30 40 20 10 0 10 10 10
DESTIN 77 90 77 92 74 90 73 89 / 40 40 20 10 0 10 10 10
EVERGREEN 70 94 70 94 65 92 65 88 / 20 30 10 0 0 0 10 10
WAYNESBORO 68 93 70 94 66 90 66 85 / 10 20 0 0 0 10 10 10
CAMDEN 71 90 70 91 64 87 66 84 / 10 20 0 0 0 0 10 10
CRESTVIEW 71 92 71 93 67 91 66 88 / 30 40 10 10 0 10 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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