864  
FXUS64 KMOB 231135  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
635 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 116 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025  
 
A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL MAINTAIN ITS HOLD ON THE WEATHER PATTERN  
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK  
BOUNDARY REMAINS DRAPED ALONG THE COAST, PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR  
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. AFTER A DRY OVERNIGHT PERIOD, SCATTERED TO  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER OUR SOUTHERN AREAS AND  
THEN SPREAD FURTHER INLAND. COVERAGE WILL BE LESS THAN PREVIOUS DAYS  
AND GENERALLY CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF I-65, WITH THE  
AXIS OF THE TROUGH BISECTING THE REGION. GIVEN THE LACK OF STRONG  
SURFACE FORCING, THIS ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET AS WE  
LOSE OUR DAYTIME HEATING.  
 
A SECOND TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO DIG SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES  
REGIONS LATER TODAY, AMPLIFYING ON SUNDAY AND EFFECTIVELY ABSORBING  
THE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE  
SOUTHEASTWARD AND THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH DRY AIR  
FILTERING INTO THE REGION IN ITS WAKE. NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW  
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE NEW WORK WEEK AND THEN  
AMPLIFY ON WEDNESDAY AS A SECONDARY COLD FRONT DRIFTS SOUTHWARD. NO  
PRECIP IS EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT, BUT WE'LL SEE OUR FIRST GLIMPSE  
OF FALL AS DEWPOINTS PLUMMET INTO THE UPPER 50S ACROSS OUR NORTHERN  
AREAS TO UPPER 60S ALONG THE COAST. TEMPS WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR  
SEASONAL NORMS, WITH HIGHS AROUND 90S FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE  
PERIOD AND IN THE 80S FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD. MEANWHILE,  
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GO FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S THROUGH  
SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S BY THE END OF  
THE WEEK. /73  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 635 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025  
 
MVFR VISIBILITIES PERSIST AT THE KMOB TERMINAL, BUT SHOULD BEGIN  
TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THIS WILL LEAVE VFR  
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON,  
POTENTIALLY IMPACTING THE TERMINALS BETWEEN 18Z AND 22Z. ANY  
STORMS WILL DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET. /7.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 116 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025  
 
A GENERALLY LIGHT WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL BE  
IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY. A LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW  
PREVAILS FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, BRIEFLY BECOMING SOUTHERLY  
NEAR SHORE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. /73  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MOBILE 92 73 93 72 94 68 90 66 / 50 20 20 10 10 0 10 0  
PENSACOLA 91 76 91 75 93 71 90 69 / 50 30 30 10 10 0 10 0  
DESTIN 88 76 90 77 92 73 90 71 / 60 30 30 20 10 0 10 0  
EVERGREEN 93 70 93 69 94 62 90 63 / 30 20 20 10 0 0 0 0  
WAYNESBORO 94 71 93 69 92 64 88 64 / 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 0  
CAMDEN 91 70 89 69 90 62 86 63 / 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
CRESTVIEW 89 71 92 71 93 65 90 64 / 60 30 30 10 10 0 10 0  
 
 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AL...NONE.  
FL...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
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