287
FXUS64 KMOB 261854
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
154 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 154 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
A LARGE UPPER TROF PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS
PROVES TO BE SURPRISINGLY RESILIENT, ALTHOUGH A WEAKENING TREND
DOES BEGIN AFTER SATURDAY. A LARGE SURFACE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE
EASTERN STATES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A SURFACE LOW MEANWHILE DEVELOPS
NEAR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE THEN SLOWLY MOVES INTO EASTERN TEXAS
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING
INTO THE FORECAST AREA. CONFIDENCE IN THE SURFACE PATTERN IS LOW
PAST THIS POINT, BUT IT APPEARS THAT EITHER THE SURFACE LOW
PROGRESSES INTO GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY, OR AT LEAST A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXIST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. IT'S
POSSIBLE THAT ANOTHER WEAK SURFACE LOW MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE TEXAS
COAST ON SUNDAY THEN MOVE TO NEAR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY
MONDAY. PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS FROM LATE WEEK INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK WHICH COMPLICATES THE FORECAST. FOR THIS PACKAGE, HAVE
CONTINUED WITH A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, THEN SMALL
POPS RETURN THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. HAVE GONE WITH CHANCE TO LIKELY
POPS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN CHANCE POPS FOLLOW FOR SUNDAY
WITH SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR LABOR DAY. A LOW RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS BECOME CALM OR LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THIS EVENING, THEN A NORTHEAST FLOW AT 5-10 KNOTS DEVELOPS
WEDNESDAY MORNING. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 154 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
AN EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS EACH DAY THROUGH
FRIDAY THEN BECOMES NORTHERLY EACH NIGHT. A SOUTHERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, THEN BECOMES EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. NO IMPACTS ARE
ANTICIPATED OTHER THAN HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR STORMS. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 68 89 65 91 69 84 69 84 / 0 10 0 10 20 50 50 60
PENSACOLA 71 89 70 91 73 85 72 84 / 0 10 0 10 10 40 50 60
DESTIN 72 90 71 89 74 86 74 85 / 0 10 0 0 10 40 50 60
EVERGREEN 64 90 61 91 67 85 67 85 / 0 0 0 10 30 50 50 50
WAYNESBORO 65 88 62 91 66 79 66 82 / 10 0 0 20 40 60 50 50
CAMDEN 64 86 62 88 66 80 67 81 / 10 0 0 10 40 60 50 40
CRESTVIEW 66 89 61 91 68 85 69 84 / 0 0 0 10 10 40 50 70
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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