258
FXUS64 KMOB 262305
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
605 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 154 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
A LARGE UPPER TROF PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS
PROVES TO BE SURPRISINGLY RESILIENT, ALTHOUGH A WEAKENING TREND
DOES BEGIN AFTER SATURDAY. A LARGE SURFACE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE
EASTERN STATES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A SURFACE LOW MEANWHILE DEVELOPS
NEAR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE THEN SLOWLY MOVES INTO EASTERN TEXAS
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING
INTO THE FORECAST AREA. CONFIDENCE IN THE SURFACE PATTERN IS LOW
PAST THIS POINT, BUT IT APPEARS THAT EITHER THE SURFACE LOW
PROGRESSES INTO GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY, OR AT LEAST A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXIST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. IT'S
POSSIBLE THAT ANOTHER WEAK SURFACE LOW MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE TEXAS
COAST ON SUNDAY THEN MOVE TO NEAR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY
MONDAY. PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS FROM LATE WEEK INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK WHICH COMPLICATES THE FORECAST. FOR THIS PACKAGE, HAVE
CONTINUED WITH A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, THEN SMALL
POPS RETURN THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. HAVE GONE WITH CHANCE TO LIKELY
POPS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN CHANCE POPS FOLLOW FOR SUNDAY
WITH SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR LABOR DAY. A LOW RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. /29
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST AS A SECOND DRY FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. NORTH WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 154 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2025
AN EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS EACH DAY THROUGH
FRIDAY THEN BECOMES NORTHERLY EACH NIGHT. A SOUTHERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, THEN BECOMES EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. NO IMPACTS ARE
ANTICIPATED OTHER THAN HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR STORMS. /29
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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