533
FXUS64 KMOB 270500
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1200 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION, DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2025
UPPER TROUGHING REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. FOR
TODAY, THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY WITH ANOTHER DAY OF LOW HUMIDITY
AND WARM TEMPERATURES. HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80'S
TODAY. LOWS TONIGHT MAY BE SOME OF THE COOLEST WE HAVE SEEN IN
QUITE A WHILE DIPPING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60'S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. A FEW SPOTS OVER INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ALABAMA COULD SNEAK IN SOME UPPER 50'S BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. OUR
FIRST IMPACTFUL SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY, WITH ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES THURSDAY OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI INCREASING TO SCATTERED TO POTENTIALLY LOCALLY
NUMEROUS AS WE HEAD INTO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA. ENSEMBLE TRENDS HAVE BEEN BECOMING MORE AGGRESSIVE
ON RAIN POTENTIAL, SO ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS UPWARDS OF
PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAY BE NECESSARY IN FUTURE FORECAST
PACKAGES.
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND THINGS GET A BIT COMPLICATED AS THE
SHORTWAVE SHIFTS EAST AND WE START TO GET ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
MAIN PARENT TROUGH. THIS WILL LIKELY MEAN SATURDAY WILL BE THE
WETTER DAY OF THE WEEKEND FEATURING SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND STORMS BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. SUNDAY WILL LIKELY FEATURE MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN
CHANCES AS THE BOUNDARY REMAINS NEAR THE COAST AND TRANSIENT
SHORTWAVES PUSH ACROSS THE AREA. HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK WE START
TO DRY OUT AGAIN AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES THE DOMINANT
FEATURE ACROSS THE REGION. OVERALL TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY GIVEN THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND RAIN
CHANCES WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 70''S TO LOWER 80'S
OVER THE INTERIOR AND MIDDLE 80'S NEARER THE COAST. HIGHS REBOUND
WITH THE DRIER FORECAST AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK TOPPING OUT IN
THE UPPER 80'S TO LOWER 90'S. OVERNIGHT LOWS STAY STEADY STATE FOR
THE MOST PART IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60'S EACH NIGHT THIS WEEKEND
INTO NEXT WEEK. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. MM/25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH ONLY A
MID-LEVEL CLOUD DECK SPREADING OVER REGION TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2025
LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW THIS MORNING RELAXES INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. SMALL CRAFT MAY NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION THIS
MORNING OVER THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS. EASTERLY FLOW THURSDAY
SHIFTS ONSHORE FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT SHIFTS OFFSHORE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, BRINGING LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE
OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW
BECOMES ESTABLISHED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. NO
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR STORMS.
MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 68 89 65 91 69 84 69 84 / 0 10 0 10 20 50 50 60
PENSACOLA 71 89 70 91 73 85 72 84 / 0 10 0 10 10 40 50 60
DESTIN 72 90 71 89 74 86 74 85 / 0 10 0 0 10 40 50 60
EVERGREEN 64 90 61 91 67 85 67 85 / 0 0 0 10 30 50 50 50
WAYNESBORO 65 88 62 91 66 79 66 82 / 10 0 0 20 40 60 50 50
CAMDEN 64 86 62 88 66 80 67 81 / 10 0 0 10 40 60 50 40
CRESTVIEW 66 89 61 91 68 85 69 84 / 0 0 0 10 10 40 50 70
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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