064
FXUS64 KMOB 180545
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1245 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
NOW THROUGH TUESDAY...
A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE EAST COAST OPENS, LEAVING A WEAKENING
UPPER TROUGH CENTERED ALONG THE EAST COAST INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL KEEP THE SOUTHEAST UNDER DRY NORTHEASTERLY UPPER FLOW INTO THE
WEEKEND. A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT, BUT WITH A DRY AIRMASS OVER THE
REGION, ANY RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NORTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DIGS AN
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE RIVER THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE TROUGH
SHIFTING EAST TO OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. A SURFACE RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE APPALACHIANS, THEN BUILDS SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND, BRINGING EAST TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW TO
THE SOUTHEAST, AND GULF AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE INLAND OVER THE
REGION. THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE COMING WEEK WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE
AND THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.
A WEAK RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL
BRING HIGH TEMPERATURES RISING TO WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS THROUGH
THE FORECAST, WITH AROUND 90S EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA WEDNESDAY, THEN RISING TO THE LOW TO MID 90S BY SATURDAY. THE
ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH WILL DROP HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 BY MONDAY. MORE SEASONAL LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE MOD 60S TO NEAR 70 WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S
FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST.
WEAK, DIURNALLY DRIVEN FLOW AND DECREASING TIDAL CYCLE WILL KEEP THE
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE COMING WEEK.
/16
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 619 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST. LIGHT WINDS WELL
INLAND ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST. OVER COASTAL
COUNTIES, SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS AT THIS TIME WILL
BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT. A SEABREEZE MOVING INLAND FROM THE GULF
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL BRING A RETURN OF SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS
OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 68 93 69 94 70 91 68 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
PENSACOLA 72 92 73 92 73 89 72 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 73 89 73 89 73 88 72 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
EVERGREEN 67 95 65 96 66 93 66 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
WAYNESBORO 67 93 67 94 67 93 66 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN 68 93 67 94 68 92 67 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
CRESTVIEW 66 94 66 94 67 92 66 90 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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