652
FXUS64 KMOB 180552
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1252 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
NOW THROUGH TUESDAY...
A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE EAST COAST OPENS, LEAVING A WEAKENING
UPPER TROUGH CENTERED ALONG THE EAST COAST INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL KEEP THE SOUTHEAST UNDER DRY NORTHEASTERLY UPPER FLOW INTO THE
WEEKEND. A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT, BUT WITH A DRY AIRMASS OVER THE
REGION, ANY RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NORTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA. SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DIGS AN
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE RIVER THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE TROUGH
SHIFTING EAST TO OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. A SURFACE RIDGE DEVELOPS
OVER THE APPALACHIANS, THEN BUILDS SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND, BRINGING EAST TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW TO
THE SOUTHEAST, AND GULF AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE INLAND OVER THE
REGION. THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE COMING WEEK WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE
AND THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.
A WEAK RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL
BRING HIGH TEMPERATURES RISING TO WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS THROUGH
THE FORECAST, WITH AROUND 90S EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA WEDNESDAY, THEN RISING TO THE LOW TO MID 90S BY SATURDAY. THE
ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH WILL DROP HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 BY MONDAY. MORE SEASONAL LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE MOD 60S TO NEAR 70 WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S
FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST.
WEAK, DIURNALLY DRIVEN FLOW AND DECREASING TIDAL CYCLE WILL KEEP THE
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE COMING WEEK.
/16
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST WITH A LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND BECOMING SOUTHERLY ALONG THE COAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 67 92 68 93 68 91 68 90 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 20
PENSACOLA 71 91 71 92 72 90 72 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20
DESTIN 73 89 73 89 73 88 73 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20
EVERGREEN 65 95 64 94 66 93 66 92 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10
WAYNESBORO 65 92 66 94 65 92 66 90 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN 67 93 68 92 68 91 68 89 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10
CRESTVIEW 65 94 66 93 66 91 67 89 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 10 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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