122  
FXUS64 KMOB 031755  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
1255 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION, DISCUSSION, MARINE  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
 
A WEAK UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND  
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WILL SLOWLY DRIFT WESTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND  
AND THEN DISSIPATE. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE  
DEEP SOUTH AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A  
SERIES OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL EASTERLY WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE  
OVER THE DEEP SOUTH AND NORTHERN GULF THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AT  
THE BASE OF LOW-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. A TIGHT  
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS OUR AREA WILL KEEP EASTERLY WINDS  
ELEVATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY FOR OUR COASTAL  
COMMUNITIES. THESE WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND  
MONDAY AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH  
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK ASIDE FROM ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPING  
ALONG THE COAST LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.  
BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL OCCUR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY,  
WITH MAINLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED,  
WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS OUR COASTAL COMMUNITIES.  
WE WILL THEN SEE A DIURNAL PATTERN EMERGE MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH  
DAYTIME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE FORECAST,  
FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE WEAK  
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD.  
 
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S THROUGH MONDAY WILL  
REBOUND INTO THE MIDDLE 80S ALL AREAS ON TUESDAY, AND FROM 85 TO  
90 DEGREES MIDWEEK. LOW TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S  
INLAND AND THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST  
TONIGHT WILL REBOUND INTO THE MIDDLE 60S TO LOWER 70S THROUGH THE  
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST.  
 
BEACH FORECAST: A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF  
4 TO 6 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON, WHILE THE HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK PERSISTS THROUGH  
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF THE HIGH BREAKER HEIGHTS AND  
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS SWIMMING AND  
SURFING CONDITIONS ALONG OUR BEACHES OVER THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY  
AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS ALSO POSSIBLE. /22  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NORTHEASTERLY  
TO EASTERLY WINDS OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH  
OF THE PERIOD. WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY GUST TO AROUND 20 KNOTS,  
ESPECIALLY BY SATURDAY MORNING. /96  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025  
 
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF THROUGH THE  
WEEKEND AS STRONG EASTERLY FLOW PERSISTS AT THE BASE OF A STRONG  
SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO  
RANGE FROM 7 TO 9 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE  
CAUTION OVER ALL BAYS AND SOUNDS DUE TO A MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW.  
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WITH  
SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TO  
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL FOLLOW THROUGH MIDWEEK. /22  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MOBILE 67 83 68 81 69 83 69 85 / 10 10 30 60 40 50 20 30  
PENSACOLA 70 84 71 82 72 83 71 85 / 10 20 30 60 40 50 20 30  
DESTIN 70 84 72 83 72 83 72 85 / 10 20 30 50 40 40 20 30  
EVERGREEN 63 85 67 84 68 84 67 87 / 0 0 10 30 20 30 10 20  
WAYNESBORO 63 83 66 82 67 82 66 84 / 0 0 10 30 20 30 10 20  
CAMDEN 62 83 66 84 67 83 66 85 / 0 0 10 20 20 20 10 20  
CRESTVIEW 64 84 69 83 69 83 68 85 / 0 10 20 50 30 40 10 30  
 
 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.  
 
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR ALZ265-266.  
 
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-  
206.  
 
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR FLZ202-204-206.  
 
MS...NONE.  
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-  
675.  
 
 
 
 
 
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