002
FXUS64 KMOB 311720
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1220 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1219 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
- A FEW LOCALIZED AREAS WELL INLAND MAY EXPERIENCE SOME PATCHY
FROST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
- NO ADDITIONAL IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
A LARGE AND BROAD UPPER TROF PATTERN WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS ON FRIDAY WHICH THEN AMPLIFIES THROUGH
SUNDAY AND BECOMES ORIENTED OVER THE EASTERN STATES. AN INVERTED
SURFACE TROF DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY NIGHT
THEN WEAKENS AND MOVES OFF TO THE EAST SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED OVER THE AREA AND HAVE
CONTINUED WITH A DRY FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO LOOK LIMITED SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
INVERTED SURFACE TROF PASSES BY, AND OTHER THAN SOME SMALL POPS
NEAR THE COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE, DRY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. A LARGE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK, AFTER WHICH IT'S POSSIBLE THAT A WEAK COLD
FRONT MAY APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTH AND MOVE THROUGH ON
THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE NEVERTHELESS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY AS DEEP LAYER MOISTURE CONTINUES TO REMAIN
LIMITED.
IT'S POSSIBLE THAT A FEW PATCHES OF FROST MAY DEVELOP WELL INLAND
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING, BUT NOTED THAT SURFACE WET
BULB VALUES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S THUS FAVORING DEW OVER
FROST. SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXIST WELL INLAND LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WHERE CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW PATCHES OF
FROST, BUT OTHERWISE WET BULB VALUES FAVOR DEW DEVELOPMENT. HIGHS
ON FRIDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S WITH JUST A
TAD WARMER VALUES MEANWHILE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
MODEST WARMING TREND ENSUES TUESDAY, WITH HIGHS ON THURSDAY
REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 70S. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 30S WELL INLAND TO NEAR 50 AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST THEN LOWS
SATURDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE LOWER 40S WELL INLAND TO AROUND 50
AT THE COAST. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE COOLER AND RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 30S WELL INLAND TO THE MID 40S AT THE COAST THEN GRADUALLY
MODERATE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO RANGE FROM THE MID 40S WELL
INLAND TO THE MID 50S AT THE COAST. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS
ANTICIPATED FOR FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, ALONG WITH
LIGHT WINDS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS PREVAIL ON FRIDAY THEN BECOME EASTERLY ON
SATURDAY. A LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY, MEANWHILE INCREASING A BIT SUNDAY
NIGHT. SMALL CRAFT MAY NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION SUNDAY NIGHT WELL
OFFSHORE. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 44 70 48 69 / 0 0 10 10
PENSACOLA 50 69 52 70 / 0 0 10 10
DESTIN 51 70 54 71 / 0 0 10 20
EVERGREEN 39 71 43 69 / 0 0 0 10
WAYNESBORO 40 68 43 65 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 38 69 43 66 / 0 0 0 10
CRESTVIEW 39 71 42 70 / 0 0 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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