270
FXUS64 KMOB 051722
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1122 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1112 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
- PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE THROUGH SATURDAY THAT COULD RESULT IN SOME NUISANCE
FLOODING.
- THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS
TODAY IN THE EARLY EVENING HOURS FOR THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA
AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
WE SAW THE BULK OF THE RAIN ON THURSDAY ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA OF THIS 3 DAY EVENT AS MODELS ARE NOW TRENDING
DOWNWARD WITH POPS AND QPF. THE ONLY AREAS THAT WILL RECEIVE MORE
RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS COMPARED TO THURSDAY WILL BE ALONG
AND EAST OF A LINE FROM PENSACOLA, FL TO LUVERNE, AL. AS IT STANDS
NOW ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA, WE ARE EXPECTING ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO RANGE FROM 0.2 TO 0.7 OF AN INCH NORTHWEST OF
THE INTERSTATE-65 CORRIDOR, AND FROM 0.7 TO 1.3 INCHES TO THE
SOUTHEAST. THEREFORE, WE ARE EXPECTING ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING
CONCERNS ACROSS THE AREA OUTSIDE OF SOME POSSIBLE NUISANCE
FLOODING ALONG THE COAST FROM NAVARRE BEACH TO DESTIN. LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY INTO THE EVENING AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST OFF OUR COAST DEPARTS OFF TO OUR EAST. LIGHT
WINDS WILL THEN OCCUR OVER THE WEEKEND PRIOR TO A COLD FRONT
PASSING THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT USHERING IN A MUCH COOLER
AND DRIER AIRMASS AS A STRONG SURFACE HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE
NORTH. IN FACT, WE COULD SEE SOME SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY NIGHT. DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST,
ALTHOUGH A FEW SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS MAY OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
BEACH FORECAST: A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL PERSIST TODAY
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A LOW RISK OVER THE
WEEKEND THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT DUE TO NORTHERLY WINDS. /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
A LARGE BAND OF CLOUD COVER CONTINUES TO STREAM OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST. RADAR SHOWS COVERAGE OF MAINLY -RA INCREASING OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS AND GRADUALLY LIFTING/SPREADING NORTH AND
NORTHEAST. APPEARS A SHEET OF BKN/OVC CIGS MAINLY MVFR BASES IS
FAVORED TO LOWER TO IFR CATEGORIES GOING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS
RAINS SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST. SOME OSCILLATIONS TO
MVFR/LIFR CIG CATEGORIES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM TIME TO TIME. WIND
MAINTAINED WITH A NORTHERLY COMPONENT AT MOSTLY 5 TO 10 KTS THRU
THE AFTERNOON BECOMES LIGHT OVERNIGHT. /10
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
MARINERS OPERATING SMALL CRAFT ON THE GULF FROM 20-60NM SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION TONIGHT. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHERLY BY
NOON TODAY AND RELAX AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ACROSS THE AREA
DEPARTS OFF TO THE EAST. A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FOLLOW THROUGH
SATURDAY, BRIEFLY SHIFT EASTERLY SATURDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A
MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONG
SURFACE HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 55 46 55 48 / 60 60 80 20
PENSACOLA 58 50 57 52 / 80 70 90 30
DESTIN 60 51 58 53 / 90 70 90 40
EVERGREEN 54 42 55 42 / 60 60 80 10
WAYNESBORO 50 40 55 42 / 30 40 40 10
CAMDEN 51 38 53 40 / 50 40 50 10
CRESTVIEW 57 46 55 45 / 80 70 90 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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