047
FXUS64 KMOB 160504
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1104 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1103 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
- BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
MID-MORNING. WIND CHILLS COULD FALL TO 10 DEGREES ACROSS
INTERIOR COUNTIES AND TO 15 DEGREES ALONG COASTAL COUNTIES.
- RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1258 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY AS WEAK
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES. EXPECT THE NEXT 48 HOURS TO MAINLY
BE A TEMPERATURE FORECAST WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 20S ONCE AGAIN. AFTER TONIGHT, THE PATTERN WILL QUICKLY
BEGIN TO FLIP AS TROUGHING TO OUR WEST BEGINS TO DEVELOP AND
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT QUICKLY BECOMES WESTERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY. EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMUP THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND INTO
THURSDAY AS OUR NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MOISTURE
SHOULD STEADILY INCREASE AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE INCREASING ON THURSDAY AS A
SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. WHILE WE CANNOT RULE
OUT A STORM OR TWO GETTING NOISY, THE OVERALL SETUP DOES LOOK
PROMISING FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AS MOST OF THE FORCING WILL
BE DISPLACED TO OUR NORTH AND WEST. OVERALL, THE RAIN WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE BENEFICIAL AS WE SLOWLY INCH OUR WAY OUT OF DROUGHT.
ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON THURSDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL
QUICKLY DROP INTO THE 30S ONCE AGAIN. HOWEVER, THIS COLD SHOT WILL
BE TEMPORARY AS UPPER RIDGING WILL LIKELY DEVELOP BY THE END OF
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK LEADING TO TEMPERATURES
INCREASING STEADILY THROUGH MONDAY. HIGHS BY MONDAY SHOULD RETURN
IN TO THE 70S. BB-8
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1103 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST, WITH VARIABLE WINDS
AROUND 5 KNOTS OR LESS.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1258 PM CST MON DEC 15 2025
STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON WITH A
LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW FOLLOWING FOR TUESDAY. A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS TUESDAY NIGHT THEN BECOMES SOUTHERLY ON THURSDAY. WINDS
SWITCH TO THE NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH,
THEN A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 30 60 44 63 / 0 0 0 20
PENSACOLA 35 58 48 66 / 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 37 59 50 66 / 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 25 60 36 66 / 0 0 0 10
WAYNESBORO 25 57 37 61 / 0 0 0 20
CAMDEN 24 56 34 61 / 0 0 0 10
CRESTVIEW 25 59 38 66 / 0 0 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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