032
FXUS64 KMOB 051654
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1054 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
- PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE AREA OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL NIGHTS. DENSE MARINE FOG WILL BECOME AN INCREASING
CONCERN BY MIDWEEK.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN THIS WEEK.
- NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE MONITORED OVER
THE COMING DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
WARM AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THIS WEEK
WITH DAYTIME HIGHS WARMING INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 70'S AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 50'S MOST NIGHTS.
AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND MOIST AIR RETURNS TO THE AREA PATCHY TO
AREAS OF DENSE FOG BECOME POSSIBLE ANY GIVEN NIGHT, PARTICULARLY
BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WHEN LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME WEAK
OVERNIGHT. CONFIDENCE ON THE COVERAGE OF DENSE FOG POTENTIAL
PRECLUDES ANY DENSE FOG ADVISORIES BEING ISSUED AT THIS POINT FOR
TONIGHT, HOWEVER AT LEAST PATCHY DENSE FOG CAN BE EXPECTED IN
SPOTS, PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
AS WE HEAD INTO LATE WEEK AN AMPLIFIED POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER
TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION BRINGING OUR NEXT SHOT AT MORE
SUBSTANTIAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOST THE
FORECAST GUIDANCE BETWEEN THE DETERMINISTIC MODEL RUNS AND THEIR
ENSEMBLES AT THIS POINT HAVE THE TROUGH GLANCING JUST NORTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA KEEPING BETTER FORCING TO OUR NORTH. IF THIS
REMAINS THE CASE, IT SHOULD HELP LIMIT ANY SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL IN OUR AREA. REGARDLESS, AS WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES AND
THE COLD FRONT PROGRESSES ACROSS THE AREA THERE IS STILL THE
EXPECTATION FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, GRADUALLY DECREASING IN
COVERAGE SATURDAY. DRY AND COOL WEATHER RETURNS TO THE AREA ONCE
AGAIN SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 512 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
CONDITIONS OVER THE FORECAST AREA RANGED FROM VFR OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS TO LIFR OVER EASTERN EDGES. CONDITIONS WILL RISE
BEGINNING SOON AFTER SUNRISE. GOING INTO MONDAY NIGHT, FOG
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE, THOUGH CLOUD COVER WILL TEMPER OVERNIGHT
COOLING, WITH DENSITY AND COVERAGE HARD TO PIN DOWN AT THIS TIME.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1042 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
A GENERALLY LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK, BUT WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO A MODERATE FLOW BY THE END
OF THE WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A MODERATE OFFSHORE
FLOW DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT THIS WEEKEND. MARINE FOG
DEVELOPMENT MAY BECOME A CONCERN EACH NIGHT THROUGH MIDWEEK. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 55 76 59 76 / 0 0 0 10
PENSACOLA 58 73 62 74 / 10 10 10 10
DESTIN 59 71 62 73 / 10 10 10 10
EVERGREEN 52 76 58 78 / 10 10 10 10
WAYNESBORO 52 76 58 77 / 0 0 10 0
CAMDEN 52 75 57 76 / 0 10 10 10
CRESTVIEW 51 75 57 77 / 10 10 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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