427
FXUS64 KMOB 101749
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1140 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1131 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
- A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS EXISTS TODAY NORTHWEST OF THE
I-65 CORRIDOR, WITH A MARGINAL RISK TO THE SOUTHEAST.
- LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY NORTHWEST OF
THE I-65 CORRIDOR.
- STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MARINE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AND CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 745 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
LATEST MARINE OBSERVATIONS AND WEBCAM FEEDS ARE NOT SHOWING ANY
FOG ALONG THE COAST AND AREA BAYS. NO FOG FORMATION IS BEING
INDICTED BY A MAJORITY OF THE MODELS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF OUR
AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THEREFORE, THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. /22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1036 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA
BEHIND THE PASSING COLD FRONT. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK SHOULD ONLY REACH INTO THE 50S TO NEAR 60 DEGREES,
EXCEPT ONLY FROM ABOUT 50-55 DEGREES ON MONDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 30S OVER INTERIOR AREAS, WITH READINGS IN THE MID 30S ALONG
THE COAST. HIGHS SHOULD REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S BY
WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT STILL LOOKS ON TRACK TO PUSH
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT, MAINLY ACROSS LOCATIONS EAST OF
I-65 AND NEAR THE COAST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY SHOULD ONLY RANGE IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S ON THURSDAY BEHIND THIS REINFORCING COLD
AIRMASS. A WIDESPREAD FREEZE MAY OCCUR OVER MOST LOCATIONS AWAY
FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20 TO
AROUND 32 DEGREES (LOWS CLOSER TO THE MID 30S ALONG THE BEACHES).
HIGHS ON FRIDAY MAY TREND SLIGHTLY WARMER INTO THE MID TO UPPER
50S ACROSS THE REGION.
BEACH FORECAST: A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON, BECOMING LOW SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MIDWEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1131 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
A BROKEN LINE OF SHRA/TSRA WAS TRANSLATING EASTWARD AND
APPROACHING THE I-65 CORRIDOR. POST CONVECTIVE -SHRA WILL FOLLOW
FOR KMOB/KBFM FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE LINE THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO
EAST. CONSIDERING RADAR TRENDS AND SHORT RANGE HIGH RESOLUTION
MODELS, NOT ENTIRELY CONFIDENT THE LINE WILL MAINTAIN ENOUGH
INTEGRITY TO INTRODUCE PREVAILING WEATHER IN THE FORECAST FOR
KJKA/KPNS INTO MID AFTERNOON AND FEEL VCTS WORDING WILL BETTER
DESCRIBE. FRONT MAKES PASSAGE TONIGHT, BRINGING WIND SHIFT AND GUSTY
CONDITIONS. MVFR CIGS LOOK TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT BEFORE CLEARING
OUT SUNDAY AM. /10
MARINE
ISSUED AT 745 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MARINE
AREA STARTING AT 9 PM THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG COLD
FRONT. GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE OFFSHORE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS ADVISORY IS SET TO EXPIRE FOR ALL BAYS
AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND AT NOON SUNDAY, AND FOR THE GULF WATERS
AT 9 AM MONDAY AS THE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS DIMINISH. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 44 58 34 54 / 10 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 48 58 36 54 / 30 0 0 0
DESTIN 50 60 37 54 / 40 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 43 57 30 55 / 20 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 39 55 31 52 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN 40 52 28 50 / 10 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 47 59 30 55 / 40 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SUNDAY
FOR GMZ630>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST MONDAY
FOR GMZ650-655-670-675.
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