596
FXUS64 KMOB 110707
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
107 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 103 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
- STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AND CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT.
- SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
NIGHT FOR MOST INTERIOR AREAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 103 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS BEGINNING TO FILTER IN FROM THE
NORTH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THAT PASSED
THROUGH THE AREA YESTERDAY. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS
HIGH AND THE FRONT WILL GIVE WAY TO A RATHER BREEZY DAY TODAY,
WITH WIND GUSTS POTENTIALLY AS HIGH AS 25-30 MPH IN SPOTS. HIGHS
WILL REMAIN IN THE 50S TODAY. THE HIGH SHOULD SETTLE IN BY
TONIGHT, HELPING TO REDUCE WINDS. THIS WILL LEAD TO EFFICIENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING, AND LOWS SHOULD DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TO
LOW 30S ACROSS THE AREA (MID 30S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST). THAT
BEING SAID, ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE MUCH LOWER TONIGHT THAN THEY
ARE THIS MORNING, THEY MAY REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH TO RESULT IN A
WIND CHILL FACTOR, ESPECIALLY OVER COASTAL COUNTIES. ALTHOUGH AT
THIS TIME, I ANTICIPATE WIND CHILLS TO GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE OUR
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA (APPARENT TEMPS LESS THAN 25 OVER
COASTAL COUNTIES), CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW LOCALIZED SPOTS BRIEFLY
SEEING WIND CHILLS DROP INTO THE 22-25 DEGREE RANGE. IF CONFIDENCE
INCREASES, OR IF TEMPS TREND LOWER/WINDS TREND HIGHER, A COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR OUR COASTAL COUNTIES. AT
THIS TIME, NOT ANTICIPATING AN ADVISORY FOR INTERIOR COUNTIES DUE
TO THEIR LOWER CRITERIA OF 20 DEGREES OR LOWER.
AS WE GO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, WE WILL LIKELY SEE TWO
MORE REINFORCING COLD FRONTS SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA AS LONGWAVE
TROUGHING AMPLIFIES OVER THE EASTERN US. THE FIRST WILL LIKELY
ARRIVE WEDNESDAY. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT MOISTURE RETURN
SHOULD BE RATHER PALTRY AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, WHICH SHOULD HELP IN
KEEPING POPS RATHER LIMITED. ANYTHING THAT DOES MANAGE TO DEVELOP
WOULD LIKELY BE A COLD RAIN GIVEN THE COLD AIRMASS STILL IN PLACE.
WE DRY OUT AND COOL OFF ONCE AGAIN FOR LATE WEEK. THE NEXT FRONT
SHOULD ARRIVE SOMETIME NEXT WEEKEND, ALTHOUGH GUIDANCE AT THIS TIME
IS RATHER INCONSISTENT WITH REGARDS TO TIMING AND IF MOISTURE IS
ABLE TO RETURN OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE RIP CURRENT RISK SHOULD
REMAIN LOW THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME INDICATION
FROM RCMOS GUIDANCE THAT WE COULD SEE A BRIEF BUMP TO MODERATE OVER
OUR EASTERNMOST FLORIDA BEACHES FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. /96
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 541 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
MVFR CEILINGS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THIS
EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. FLIGHT CATEGORIES SHOULD
RETURN BACK TO VFR AROUND OR A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT, AND WILL
BECOME PREVALENT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS
AT ISSUANCE TIME WILL BECOME GUSTY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST LATER THIS
EVENING. WIND GUSTS TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MAY REACH AS HIGH AS
25-30 KNOTS IN SPOTS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 103 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN PLACE FOR ALL MARINE ZONES. OCCASIONAL GUSTS
TO NEAR GALE FORCE CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVER THE LOCAL GULF
WATERS. WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASE ON MONDAY, BECOMING LIGHT BY
TUESDAY. WINDS BRIEFLY TURN WESTERLY ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
NEXT COLD FRONT. MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS RETURN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. ANOTHER
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BECOME WARRANTED FOR MIDWEEK. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 59 30 53 31 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 58 35 53 35 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 60 37 54 38 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 56 29 53 28 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 55 29 52 28 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 53 28 49 28 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 59 29 54 27 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ630>632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ633>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
675.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page