181
FXUS64 KMOB 281103
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
503 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 503 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
- ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS
WILL ACCOMPANY IT LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1209 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
A FAST MOVING UPPER SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL
PASS OVER THE AREA TODAY. THIS THROUGH WILL BRING IN SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS, BUT NO PRECIPITATION AS THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT IS
TOO DRY. ZONAL FLOW ON THURSDAY WILL PROCEED A MASSIVE LONGWAVE
TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S. AND MUCH OF
THE GULF FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF ON
FRIDAY, SENDING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT, BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIMITED
DUE TO THE LACK OF MOISTURE RETURN. ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL INVADE THE DEEP SOUTH, WITH TEMPERATURES
SURGING WELL BELOW NORMAL.
PRIOR TO THE FRONTS ARRIVAL, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND INTO
THE 50S TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY, BUT THESE TEMPERATURES ARE STILL 5
TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. LOW TEMPERATURES SLOWLY MODERATE, WITH
LOWS TONIGHT IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S, AND LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT
IN THE 30S INLAND WITH LOWER 40S ALONG THE COAST. TEMPERATURES
THEN TAKE A PLUNGE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. IN FACT,
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA UNDER STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL BE A WHOPPING 25 TO 30 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF THE BITTER
COLD TEMPS AND WINDS WILL RESULT IN APPARENT TEMPERATURES (WIND
CHILLS) FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL NOT RECOVER MUCH DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY WITH UPPER TEENS TO MIDDLE 20S ACROSS THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES THEN RECOVER INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S ON SUNDAY,
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S ON MONDAY, AND MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60
DEGREES ON TUESDAY. /22
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 503 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH A LIGHT NORTH WIND AROUND 10
KNOTS DECREASING OVERNIGHT. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1209 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL SWITCH TO A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WITH GALE
FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS
AN ARCTIC AIR MASS BLASTS THROUGH THE REGION, WITH SEAS AS HIGH AS
11 FEET WELL OFFSHORE. THIS OFFSHORE FLOW WILL THEN DECREASE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 54 28 57 38 / 0 0 0 10
PENSACOLA 53 32 56 43 / 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 53 36 55 45 / 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 53 26 57 33 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 52 24 56 33 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN 51 25 54 31 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 54 25 57 34 / 0 0 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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