311  
FNUS74 KMOB 291014  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR YRS05...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
414 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON JANUARY 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 24 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER  
THE BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE BURN AREA  
TODAY AND TOMORROW, WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES FALLING INTO THE 35 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE TODAY AND 55 TO 60  
PERCENT RANGE FRIDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS SHIFT FROM OUT OF THE  
NORTHEAST THIS MORNING TO OUT OF THE SOUTH BY LATE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS OUT OF THE EAST FRIDAY MORNING TURN OUT OF THE  
NORTHWEST FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AFTERNOON  
DISPERSIONS TODAY WILL BE GENERALLY POOR, BECOMING FAIR FRIDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1036 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO  
6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST AROUND 2 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTH 1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 18 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 14 26 43 55 56 62 54 51 42 45  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 33 41 46 50 53 55 55 56 56 52  
RH..............96 89 70 58 50 43 38 38 37 38 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N E E ESE SE SSE SSE SSE S SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE ENE E ESE SE SSE SSE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 5 3 5 6 5 6 5 3  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE ENE E ESE SE SSE SSE S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 2 1 2 3 2 3 2 1  
DISPERSION IDX..5 4 8 10 10 15 20 18 22 19 14  
LVORI...........7 6 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-152 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2 TO 5  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE EAST 1 TO 2 METERS/SECOND OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....2.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........46 30 23 18 21 21 41 34 31 31 43 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 46 42 40 39 37 37 36 34 35 36 36  
RH..............58 63 73 79 82 89 89 92 96 96 92 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SSE SSE N SE SE ESE ESE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW S S S S SSE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 2  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW S S S S SSE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 5 7 7 6 8 8 7 7  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1311 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 5  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 7 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 1 TO 2 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND  
LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 58 56 54 56 59 61 65 69 73 75 78  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............37 37 42 48 53 56 58 59 59 57 55 52  
RH..............92 96 86 77 69 64 60 57 57 62 66 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..E ENE E ESE ENE N NW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 2.0 3.3 4.3 4.2 3.8 3.1 3.1 3.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E ESE SSE S WSW W WNW WNW WNW NW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 5 7 9 10 10 10 10 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E ESE SSE S WSW W WNW WNW WNW NW NNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 3 3 11 22 23 26 26 25 25 24  
LVORI...........6 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601256.0/MOB  
.DELDT 01/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.K.MOCK@USDA.GOV  
 
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