528  
FNUS74 KMOB 301216  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MIC09...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
616 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON JANUARY 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 112 EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN SITE  
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
DROP TO AROUND 45 TO 50 PERCENT TODAY, AND NEAR 30 PERCENT  
SATURDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS SHIFT TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THIS  
MORNING, BECOMING NORTHWEST BY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF A  
COLD FRONT. STRONG TRANSPORT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST ARE  
EXPECTED SATURDAY. DISPERSIONS WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TO GOOD  
TODAY AND EXCELLENT ON SATURDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1402 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE  
MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 51 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 62  
DECREASING TO 50 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 38.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 30 19 17 18 27 59 68 75 85 81  
WEATHER COV.....ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 40 49 54 57 60 58 58 58 55 52  
RH..............92 89 68 61 55 47 49 49 51 55 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE ENE E NNW NW NW NW NW NW NW NNW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 5 7 8 10 12 14 14 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.6 2.6 3.6 4.4 4.6 4.5 4.1 4.1 4.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ENE ESE SW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NW NNW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 2 2 7 8 10 12 13 14 14 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..ENE ESE SW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NW NNW NNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..3 2 3 19 34 51 62 50 37 37 39  
LVORI...........6 6 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-792 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 31.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........81 79 56 62 57 43 54 54 53 53 64 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 47 45 43 41 39 38 37 34 32 30 28  
RH..............71 74 76 79 79 79 76 75 75 78 75 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 18 20 21 21 22 23 24 24 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 16 17 18 20 21 21 23 22 23  
TRANS WIND DIR..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..10 10 11 12 14 15 17 21 28 30 31 31  
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35  
MPH INCREASING TO 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...853-1768 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 35  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO  
13 TO 16 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....62 INCREASING TO 77 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 92 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 109 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
105.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........59 65 57 49 44 38 33 27 22 16 14 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............27 25 26 28 30 32 33 34 34 33 31 29  
RH..............78 78 68 58 49 43 38 33 32 31 34 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 14 15 15 14 15 15 15 14 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 29 30 32 33 35 36 36 36 36 33 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.8 3.1 3.6 4.1 4.7 5.2 5.6 5.8 5.5 5.5 5.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 25 28 29 30 31 33 35 35 31 28  
TRANS WIND DIR..NW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 11 13 13 13 14 15 16 16 14 13  
DISPERSION IDX..65 58 63 73 81 88 95 105 112 111 102 107  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601383.0/MOB  
.DELDT 01/30/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.K.MOCK@USFS.GOV  
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